Christchurch Real Estate

Property, Property, Property, The Market Is So Confused!

The Breaking News story today is about property again. Seems like lately everything is about property property property. Today’s headline states Property sales plunge in January – January house sales worst in nearly two decades…

Sounds terrible doesn’t it! This story is quite a different picture that was being painted last month when the authorities were talking about the market in December. It is clear that there is a huge amount of instability within the market place. People are unsure what exactly is going to happen and the media is always reporting on the has been or the statistics. Here are some of the facts relating to the latest data that has been released.

• Home sales plummeted in January to their lowest level in nearly two decades

• January saw just 10,272 new listings coming onto the market; the first time in 4 years that the January figure has been lower than December

• T
  

  he total figure of 3,666 dwellings sold in January this year was the lowest monthly total since electronic records began in 1992 and was only the second time the total figure had dipped under 4,000.

• The national median of $350,000 was up 7.7 per cent on the corresponding figure of $325,000 for January 2009, but was $10,000 down on the median price for December 2009.

• The national median for days to sell in January was 43, 16 fewer days than the corresponding period a year ago but 10 more days than in December 2009. Sales were quickest in Southland at
  

  33 median days and in Auckland where the median days to sell was 36.

So why the big change between December and January when January is typically the busiest month for Real Estate transactions in New Zealand. SO what is holding it up. The answer isn’t as simple as one answer. There are many reasons. Some of these include the recent news about the possibility of tax reforms relating to property, some factors include New Zealand heightening unemployment ratio, other things such as the media releases stating that house prices are at levels not seen since the 2007 peak.

I think all these factors have put the brakes on people making decisions relating to property. Naturally because property is a massive investment people don’t want to be making investments when there is uncertainty around it.

The next step in the equation is almost anybody’s guess. There are no hard and fast rules. When it comes to property investment it would be fair to say that many people will be holding off, including myself until it is clear what the government is going to do regarding the tax reforms relating to property and gst. The recent Speech done by the prime minister will have adverse effects on peoples perceptions of residential property

investment. This is the key part to the speech.

It will be a long awaited Budget in May and I can’t wait to see what it produces. There will be big change and until then unfortunately I feel the property market might be quite subdued because many investors will be holding off buying. But on the flip side to this with a relatively higher property inventory compared to the number of sales there could be some great buying opportunities for people who wish to buy their own home as some vendors could become pressured due to the lack of interest in the market.

There is also one other point to take into consideration which could cause all of what I have said above to be a uncredible. Since the Real Estate act changed in 2009 agencies do not need to be members of the REINZ who usually supply all the stats for the sales etc. SO just possibly maybe there is a slight problem with the stats from here on in and the real estate stats are not up to date. This could be the case because agencies do not have to submit their results to the REINZ. This would cause a dip in the stats if someone didnt enter their data. this is something I will investigate further.

This is surely interesting times.

If you want to view the entire John Key speech visit this link to download a copy of it.

February 12 2010 | The Market | 4 Comments »

Mortgagee Sales… Money Is Still Tight

Mortgagee Sales now account for 4% of all house sales. This is a disturbing statistics. It is horrifying to think that 1 in 25 houses selling on the market today are mortgagee sales. For statistics

Regional towns across New Zealand are feeling the squeeze as mortgagee sales hit another historic high in September, according to the latest figures from Terralink International.

The data released today showed 343 registered mortgagee sales – up on the previous record number of 321 in July this year.

September 2009’s figures are up 130 per cent from the 149 mortgagee sales recorded in September 2008.

In September 2007, prior to the recession, there were 16 mortgagee sales.

Terralink Managing Director Mike Donald said the new record figures followed an uncharacteristic dip in mortgagee sales the month before.

“The continuing increase in mortgagee sales came as no surprise because all indicators showed the worst was not over for property owners. I don’t think we’ll see a true decline until sometime next year,” he said.

Regional towns and cities showed the greatest increases in mortgagee sales, Mr Donald added.

The number of mortgagee sales in Manawatu has doubled in a month from 11 to 22, Hawke’s Bay has gone from 15 to 24 and there were 32 mortgagee sales in the Waikato region in September, up from 18 the month before.

Northland, Otago and the Bay of Plenty also saw significant increases.

“The recession isn’t just hurting people in the big cities, small town New Zealand is clearly hurting too,” Mr Donald said.

Christchurch was the hardest hit main city, up from 19 mortgagee sales in August, to 29 in September.

figure source: NZ Herald

As I see it now there is no logical reason as to why house prices in New Zealand haven’t yet crashed in a dramatic way like the rest of the world. Not only is farming bad but tourism is terrible. Mortgagee sales and mortgagee auctions have risen 100% in Northland from May 2008 to May 2009, In Auckland during the same period, they rose 211% and in Wellington 1000%

This begs me to ask why are people getting themselves into the hassle of mortgagee sales but unfortunately its just about people not taking the right measures to avoid it. But I still receive emails from people asking why do people get themselves into this situation and others asking what actually happens in a mortgagee sale. So here is a quick excert from a New Zealand Website that details what a mortgagee sale is…

So what happens at a mortgagee sale?

A mortgagee sale is the final stage of the mortgagee process, at which the property which is the subject of the mortgagee action is sold at public auction to the highest bidder. The sale is conducted by a court-appointed referee. The referee commences the sale by reading aloud the Terms of Sale; the Terms of Sale is the document that acts as the contract of sale between the referee and the high bidder, and sets forth the rights, responsibilities and obligations of both the referee and the high bidder. Once the referee has read the Terms of Sale, the referee begins to accept bids for the property. The foreclosing mortgage holder (the “Mortgagee”) usually has an “upset price” which is the minimum amount it will accept in satisfaction of the mortgage debt. If the highest amount bid is less than the upset price, the Mortgagee will usually be the high bidder and take title to the property. If, however, the highest amount bid exceeds the upset price, the property will generally be sold to the highest bidder.

How does this happen?

If you fail to make the payments due under a mortgage on your home, the lender (the “mortgagee”) has the right to recoup the loan amount through exercising the powers contained in the mortgage contract. Usually this is done through the power to sell the property.

The mortgagee must, however, fulfil certain strict legal requirements, including serving you (the “mortgagor”) with the proper notice. If these requirements aren’t met then you may be able to apply to the court for a remedy.

Mortgagee must serve you with notice before taking action

Before taking action the mortgagee must serve you with a notice under section 92 of the PROPERTY LAW ACT 1952. This notice must adequately inform you of:

• the nature and extent of the default complained of (that is, the amount by which you are in default)
• the date by which you must remedy the default
• the rights that the mortgagee is entitled to exercise if you don’t remedy the default by the specified date

The date specified must be at least four weeks from the date on which the notice is given. But if the mortgage contract specifies a period for this that is longer than four weeks, the date specified in the notice cannot be earlier than the end of that longer period.

If you receive a notice from your mortgagee that does not comply with the legal requirements, you may be able to apply to the court for an injunction to prevent the sale going ahead. Further, if the mortgagee exercises the power of sale before the date specified in the notice, you may also be able to apply to the court for a remedy.

The mortgagee’s duty to obtain the best price

The mortgagee has a statutory duty to take reasonable care to obtain the best price reasonably obtainable as at the time of sale. If the mortgagee breaches this duty, you can apply to the court for a remedy.

To satisfy the duty the mortgagee must adequately market the property, which may involve advertising outside the local area, giving notice of the property’s advantages (including the potential for any development), and setting a realistic reserve price based on the property’s valuation.

Three ways of exercising the power of sale

The mortgagee can exercise the power of sale in one of three ways:

• sale through the High Court Registrar
• sale through public auction
• a private sale

Sale through the Registrar

If the mortgagee chooses to exercise its power of sale through the High Court Registrar, it must apply to the Registrar and notify the Registrar of the name and address of the mortgagor and of any other mortgagee. The Registrar must be satisfied that the mortgagee is entitled to exercise its power of sale.

A mortgagee is entitled to buy the mortgaged property only if the sale is conducted through the Registrar.

Your right to redeem the property

There is a small degree of protection afforded to you, the mortgagor, through the “redemption price” – this is the price at which you may redeem the land to be sold. At any time before the Registrar’s sale you may pay the redemption price or the amount due and owing under the mortgage; the mortgagee must then release the mortgage.

The redemption price is set by the mortgagee, and must be specified in the mortgagee’s application to the Registrar to conduct the sale. Any advertisement for the mortgagee sale must state that the redemption price is available at the Registrar’s office and can be obtained before the auction.

The best thing to do is talk to your lender and your solicitor early to avoid heartache.

The reality is that real people are having mortgagee sales. Its as easy as a person losing their job. For example a friend of mine lost his job, have a mortgage holiday but his new job did not give him enough money to pay the mortgage. He then was notified that his home was going to be sold and there was not much he could do. This is very real and looking at the economic situation out there there will not be a sudden drop off from these types of sales.

November 22 2009 | Sellers and The Market | 4 Comments »

March 2009 QV Statistics And New Zealands Housing Sales Volume

Christchurch

This is the latest Press Release from QV.

Property values in Christchurch decreased by 9.7% over the last year (calculated over the three months ending March 2009 in comparison to the same period last year), deteriorating further from the 9.1% annual decline reported in February. The average sale price for the city increased slightly from $344,816 to $349,442.

Melanie Holcroft of QV Valuations said; “The Central and Northern suburbs are holding as the strongest areas of Christchurch City, with the Eastern suburbs mirroring the Canterbury market.  The Hill suburbs have decreased from -8.1% in February 2009 to -9.9% in March 2009. The upper end of the market seems to be experiencing less activity compared to the middle and lower sections”.

“Property values since December 2008 continue to decline, although this appears to be at a slowing rate. Whilst the average sale price for Christchurch City shows a small lift, it must be kept in context as this data is easily skewed by normal market fluctuations and the mix of property being sold,” she said.

“The anecdotal signs of increased market activity with properties that are well priced continue on from last month, and buyers are showing plenty of interest in these. It should be noted however that the overall sentiment is still cautionary, with job security appearing to be the key driver affecting purchasing decisions. Local banks are also reporting a noticeable increase in pre-approvals, but this is still slow to filter through into market activity. We anticipate a slower market over the winter months, with current trends in line with seasonal behaviour,”Holcroft said.

Here is a snap shot of New Zealands Median Price for Property over the past 9 years.

Now here is the median for the same 9 year period in Christchurch.

The trend is very much the same.

Now the big change that agents have noticed is the drop in sales volume. Here is a graph from treasury that shows the drop in sales volume over the last two years and how it has changed.

As you can see there is a huge drop of with sales volume at about the time of the housing crisis in The United States which has evolved to the global credit crunch. But on the other side of this look at how steep the sales volume grew. This is post the 9/11 Twin Tower events which saw the number of migration of ex pats and new people to New Zealand grow at very fast rates as the graph below shows.

Now whether 9/11 was hoaxed by the Illuminati in a bid to change the world and protect certain people wealth or it was a real act of terrorism are still up for debate but the after effects have been more than anyone can detest. The jobs and employment from the upbeating of security was massive and in New Zealand the return home of thousands of New Zealanders pumped billions into the economy. But this caused the bubble that just kept getting bigger and bigger and created more and more debt. This debt is the real reason for the market the way it is. Now we have inflated prices with less capital and the same amount of debt.

When will the housing market start to move again.

Signs are already of more activity and there is a clear sign of migration numbers increasing as more people return home. These people have to live somewhere.

April 25 2009 | Buyers and Sellers and The Market | 1 Comment »

Selling your house in 2009

Marketing, price, presentation

Christmas and New Year is over. We are pretty much now beginning the 2009 year off back into work. I was back at work today to a bombardment of paperwork to be completed. The joys of life. As I said in my previous posts I said 2009 will be a year for change and opportunity. In terms of the change I believe that it will be more important than ever to be at the front edge of what’s happening so you don’t get lost in old ways of technology so that you’re not left behind which could cost you money.

There will be in 2009 a very big change in focus when it comes to marketing. As the credit crunch and the recession take full effect during the early parts of the year there will be a focus to finding more effective ways to market products to reach the audience. And Real Estate will be no different. This to me will be a vitally important key component that is going to become more and more important this year than ever before. Where and How you market your property will be the defining point in the result you achieve when you try selling. Obviously there are other things and I will cover them here as well.

The medians to advertise your property are going to change. In my opinion the need for print media is going to become less and less effective. The cost vs. the result isn’t stacking up any more. Don’t get me wrong that if you put a good sized ad in the news paper you are going to get a lot of local views that day in the paper but it’s a one shot. With the time taking to sell increasing and the attention span of the reader gets smaller due to increased pressures at work and with the family. (Our lives aren’t getting any slower). I think the way to go moving on in the future will be for longer term and specific advertising. This will be online and longer term print media.

When I Say longer term print media I am talking about the local Real Estate book that gets published by either the company or a collective of companies. But I feel that if the company isn’t big enough and doesn’t hold enough listings that if it tries to make a publication of its own for the area it will not get as much coverage. This is only because people these days and I think more towards the future don’t want to have to look all over the place to look at their complete choices. The one stop shop type of model is going to please the consumer of tomorrow.

Realestate.co.nz which is now New Zealand’s leading online Real Estate portal has a dominating effect on Real Estate adverting online. But this is a good thing for the way we as a society want to go. This will enable the public to have the greatest and a more comprehensive search. The reason I say that these sites and publications are going to become more important to your marketing is that people will want to compare your property with what else is on the market. I know people have been doing this for ever but the thing that I think is going to change is that people don’t want to be searching around all over the place to find comparisons. Also with our ever fast passed world you need to be out in the spotlight for longer. This is the reason for the publication with a longer shelf life to be more important in your marketing.

Along with where you market your property in 2009 Price is going to be ever so important. The slow down and recession which started in 2008 and that is now coming with us in 2009 is going to make pricing harder than ever but more important than ever. The thing is that some people will price to the market and some wont. If you are one that hasn’t our going to help the ones who have sell their property.

During the comparing process the buyer goes through your property will simply be eliminated because it’s a higher price compared to what they could buy down the road. I can’t stress this enough. You MUST price the property competitively in today’s market if you want to sell. And you need to advertise that. Be firm on that price but make it known. If you’re going down the track of no priced marketing Auction is the best way to go but make sure you at least have a guideline and listen to the buyers feedback on where they believe the price could be. But be firm on a reasonable value because buyers in a buyer’s market are tough but do listen.

One thing I want to mention on this point is that I know of agents out there actively in the field who are buying listings. Telling the vendor at the point of sale that the property is X amount which is a little more than any other agent you had in has said. This tactic is going to kill your chances of selling and what’s more frustrating is its going become more stressful for you when it seems like your dropping your price constantly because your agent you have chosen says you need to meet the market. 2009 will not be a time to test the market. It’s a time to listen, be aggressive and achieve results.

Presentation is going to be important. When marketing your property online the only guide the buyer has to go by when in the comparison stage is the pictures. Which make having good quality photographs very very important. There are plenty of places to go to have photography done and there will be more I think coming soon to give you a good choice of photographs. But it’s also about the photos that you take. Some agents and people swear by having less photos so that a person enquiring will ring the agent for the enquiry. This is wrong. And even more wrong for a generation Y person. Generally what will happen is that people just want to see everything so that they fully know what to expect. Then they can compare and either eliminate or shortlist the property.

Once the property is shortlisted you then will find the buyer will contact the agent and find out more meaningful and maybe more specific information for their needs. If they don’t contact the agent directly they will go to the open home.  If all the preparation work and everything is done right then you will hopefully get a contract on your property. But everything has to be right. In 2009 there will still be sales and probably more than in 2008 but the properties that sell will be priced right, marketed right and well presented. The combination of these factors and doing them right, especially been proactive about the marketing will ensure that you have a successful sale in 2009.

January 05 2009 | Sellers and The Market | 5 Comments »

What’s in store for 2009?

What’s in store for 2009.

Seems like everyone is giving their predictions for 2009. It also seems everyone has a different opinion. If you go down the street and ask someone what’s in store for 2009 every single person will give you a different response. Some people are positive, some people are negative. Some have very strong views but one thing I have noticed is there is not many that don’t care. This varied response is actually in my view what’s going to happen in 2009. It’s going to be varied and unpredictable in the whole.

Let’s look at 2008 and what’s been. I am not going to get into this too much because we all know what’s happened. The global credit crunch has hit and it has hit us hard. We started the year on the peak. It was the peak of almost every single market, not just the real estate market. The dollar was high, the stock market was buoyant, petrol prices were well over $2 a litre, house prices had just hit their peak,  but everyone knew that that was the peak by this time. We have been in a year of constant downward trends. Consumer and business confidence has been at an all time low with sales volume and capital have steadily been lower and lower and unemployment levels this year have risen 2%. I know three of my friends who lost their jobs in the last week because of less business turn over.

The global credit crunch started by dodgy subprime loans in the states has had a ripple effect around the world and instantly devalued the price of all the assets we use to trade on. The stock market plummeted, oil prices have fallen 138% this year, our New Zealand dollar went into a free fall loosing almost 35c of the American in less than 2 months. New Zealand’s housing market went into dire straits with sales volume bellying out to levels not seen since 1992 (16 years ago) with only approx 55,000 sales being transacted in 2008. Real Estate prices have fallen by up to 10% – 15%in some areas already from their peak in late 07.

The world reserve banks have slashed the official cash rates all around the world. In the states its now the lowest in history at under .2% and in New Zealand it’s almost the lowest level at 5%. Interest rates on houses have come down a considerable amount.  But the banks are not going to lend on any risk at the moment with most of them putting their minimum deposit amounts up to 20% on all new loans. So all up it’s been a year of considerable change and a year that has hurt and seen many people become closer to financial hardship.

2009 is not one that will bring pleasure or happiness to many people caught up in this economic downturn. As credit lending gets tighter and banks put on the pressure  to repay loans on property that has decreased in value and in some cases decreased to levels below what they owe on the property. Unfortunately this is going to be a reality for some people and there will be more and more forced sales from it. Banks will step in and won’t be accommodating if you’re in a position to not pay them back.

I think in 2009 that the economy will start to bottom out a little. I don’t think we will see the prices of oil drop to much further, or the stock market crash to much further. There will be a lot of fluctuation though that will cause consumer confidence to remain low for a period of time. The New Zealand dollar although risen against the US Dollar in recent weeks will remain around in my opinion the 50c mark and will remain around there. But there is still too many uncertainties to place too much  weight on this.

There are still factors I believe in America that could pan out either way. One of the bigger ones is the car industry and the almost total collapse of that. GM and Ford America are part of one of the biggest industries that feed the American economy. This industry is looking at almost completely shutting down. Already workers are taking pay cuts, working less hours just to try and help the companies stay afloat. But the reality is if the government doesn’t bail them out there is going to be a catastrophic meltdown of the economy in America. And it’s not just the car industry that I am talking about. It’s all the suppliers, all the people who service and or repair the cars, the distributers, shipping companies, you name it they will be affected. If the car industry goes under their will be job losses in the millions. They expect there will be more people lose their jobs than people that live in New Zealand. At this time all we know is that the government have given a reprieve till March 09 and we will have to wait till then to see what will happen.

Back to New Zealand what this really means is 2009 will be a year of consolidation for all I think. It will be the time when people who have borrowed on easy credit will need to take a reality check and downsize and live the life they can afford. I think we have in New Zealand seen the huge falls of commodity prices. It’s now a case of waiting and letting that filter though the system. What I think we will see a lot of people tightening up and living more economically. Not because of want but because of having to.

There are things that could happen in 2009 that if did happen will change everything that I have spoken about. The fact of the matter is that the world is on tender hooks in regards to the economy. It’s almost like balancing a car on a pin, it could go any way and we won’t know till it happens. This uncertainty is going to mean though that volumes of sales and consumer spending is going to remain low into 2009.

For the housing market there will be more and more forced sales in the coming year as the pressures of day to day living and the tighter economic conditions start to mean more job losses and less money for families. There is going to be a need for huge cooperation in 2009 between everybody who provides services and products. As sales volumes drop and bottom lines drop costs are going to be cut and this will mean suppliers are going to need to be flexible with their costs just to keep their existing clients. Food costs need to come down as people find it harder to buy for them and their families, and more people start eating less expensive foods. We will all need to help each other. The boom years have been a selfish time when people have made easy money but now for people to get ahead they will need the support of others. 

For first time buyers in 2009 you will have to creatively think how you are going to service and in the first place get a loan to purchase your house. Thats if you dont have 20% of savings. Use the help of faily that already have high equity in their homes and ask to borrow some of it. Its a risk for them but it also will make you accountable for your repayments. There are many ways and its just about getting that help and support and it applies not just to housing as well. We could all save so much money if we worked together in some things instead of fighting to get the most as we have selfishly done in the boom times. This is not the time do do this.

For the aggressive investor and purchaser I think there could be some good opportunities coming up in the property market. There are already properties you can buy that are positive cash flow. And if you’re going to sit on them for a number of years until the economic climate stabilizes to normal again you will do well out of them. Although I do think that property prices will fall further as there will be time when wages come into line with property prices and may not stablise during 2009. I base this on the prediction that there will be increased forced sales which will put pressure on normal sellers to meet the market where the forced sales are if they want to achieve a sale. It will come down to sellers if you want to sell your house for a good price you need to display added value for the purchaser against the one down the road for similar money.

It will be tough out there for anyone in the next year but if you can ride it you will be fine. 2009 will be a year along with 2008 for global change. People will come out of this and look differently upon how we treat both money and the world. I think there will be a lot of good come out of next year. It’s just a case of taking the hit now and getting on with life. We have all lost out but we will all reap the benefits when they do come around.

December 26 2008 | Uncategorized | 2 Comments »

What Are You Waiting For?

Its official. Sales volume is the lowest it has been for 16 years 11 months and the market has never been harder to work. Sellers, Buyers and agents… We are all having to adjust, compromise and accept that the days of the boom are well and truly over. And property prices have in fact in some areas come back 10% and some places maybe more. Negativity is so easy to talk about these days when the markets are depressed. Every day we are all hearing about the Credit crisis, banks bailout, tougher lending, house prices and sales fall, car industry crashes, jobs been slashed, and I could go on for a very long time.

These of course are the reality of today but we have to look in hindsight at whats happened prior to bring this about and the fact of the matter is that too many of us are forgetting about is that from 2000 to 2007 there were 7 years where there was the biggest economic growth this world has ever seen. This created jobs in huge amounts businesses were making money without huge expense and effort, many people bought property and in 4 years sold it for double what they paid for it enabling them to buy bigger and better homes and allowing others to get into the market easily at the time. We were all living relatively good lifestyles and many of us were probably living at a level above where we deserved to be.

Reality has hit home but is this a reason to be scared, freak out and stop doing the economic activities we used to do? NO! It’s a time to consolidate definitely and a time to work smarter and stop being lazy. Do you want to be left behind and watch the ones who take action now prosper in ten years time. Are you going to be the one who says, dam I wish I took action when there was time. I sure hope not. There is no reason to worry, it’s time to start opening your eyes up and see whats happening around you. We have seen a major shift in the market place one which few people really expected, homes and property continue to be bought and sold at new levels every day of the year. There are always people who need to sell, and people who need to buy, and so long as there are these 2 people in the market, property will sell. It just won’t sell at prices that where around in 2007. 

Housing prices today right now are in many places at a level that has made homes right across the board more affordable. And in my view the key to selling your property in 2009 will be in the ability to show that your home has the best value for money on the market, and attract the right buyers to it, and when you’re buying and selling on the same market you aren’t gaining or losing any of that market change. Don’t be afraid to step up to the mark and make a move.

There are some very good buys out there now. We don’t know if there will be better buys to come. All we can do is work with what we have now, and there are plenty of people wanting to sell. Plenty of people are wanting to buy. Enquiry on this blog has doubled in the past three weeks and the search terms are mostly about how to find a good buy. If you want to know where a good buy is, talk to a trusted real estate agent. In this market as a seller they are going to be your best help and also for a seller a real estate agent will be helpful in so many ways. Its bridging that expectation gap which the agents do in order to meet everybody’s needs which is so important.

I have a very large social network online and am in constant contact with them. Today I conducted an experiment. On Twitter I asked a simple question. ‘What are your concerns going into 2009?’ 70% of the response I received was positive and about the opportunities that they see coming into play now. The other 30% were concerned about the financial pressures of life. Which person do you think is going to take action and prosper from it.

Take action. Don’t sit by and let things happen before you. If you have a problem, for example you need a job transfer somewhere and you need to sell the house, take action and sell it. Maybe consider a part swap of a possession somewhere else or something else to sweeten the deal to the buyer. These things will work and you will see the results. I believe the time of opportunity is near. But the opportunity is lost if your too late. Be in. Don’t be scared and think of the long term goal. If your purchasing a home today, tomorrow or in the near future good luck. There are some great buys out there for you to snap up and they arent a trick. This is for real. People lived lives a step above what they earnt and now are having to take the hit. This is the opportunities for you. 

December 16 2008 | Buyers and Sellers and The Market | No Comments »

Christchurch Real Estate Market November/December 2008 Moving Along… Maybe

The Christchurch Real Estate Market was alive and well today. Harcourts Grenadier held 18 Auctions today. After all were conducted the results were quite good. 8 properties sold under the hammer, 2 were sold prior and 2 were sold after the property was passed in and it sounds as though a few will be under offer in the next few days. The interesting thing to note is that many of the properties that were been Auctioned today were of the higher end of the market.  

This may be good news for the market in the fact it shows that the buyers are still out there and there are still people with money to buy. Sales numbers on previous years are well below what they were so it is still more important than ever to have your property stand out. Targeted, high profile marketing, sound presentation combined with a strong structure and a competitive edge when it comes to the price and you will attract the buyers out there to your property and hopefully the hard work put in will get an offer on the table that if not at an acceptable level you can work with.

The total amount of sales this year has been consistently moving downwards as the economy in New Zealand has been crippled by the global credit crisis. In recent months there has been some relief for us all with interest rates falling, fuel prices falling and tax cuts from the government but these are still not seen to be enough to help some of the struggling families out there as many won’t feel these reductions for many months to come. So the market still has some

The statistics below show the data collected by the REINZ for the Christchurch Central Area (The 4 Avenues) and how much different this year has been to two years ago.

The tables below read: DATE; MEDIAN; TOTAL SALES; DAYS ON MARKET

 Now Compare this for the same period 2 years ago.

 You can see quite clearly that the sales volume is below half of what it was two years ago for the exact same area. This is why it is so important to do all the things I mentioned above. The fact of reality is that there are more listings than last year and half the sales. Dont be the one sitting on the market and not selling. Be one of the ones who do sell. It is hard to look at the price from these graphs and compare it in this cross section as it is only a small sample of the market and too much influencial data can skew the data. But below is a graph of the median price for this Christchurch Central (4 Avenues) area. The other thing is the sales stats from the REINZ only show medium not average so many influencing factors can skew the graph over each month. 

The market is not completely dead, as I said right at the start of this post there are still properties selling and today we saw a number sell under the hammer which just hasnt been heppening to that extent on a consistent basis for a while now. The feeling I get is buyers are ready to buy but are waiting for that opportunity that they consider a good buy. Most buyers I talk to out there say there is still a lot of room for the market to move. And unfortunately when your in a buyers market these are the words that are going to ring true in many cases. The sales volume for New Zealand in November 2008 were 4297 sales. The next lowest was in August 2008 with 4220. But previous to this years shocking sales volume drop the lowest sales in any given month was a massive 16 years ago when in January 1992 there were 4,427 sales. 

Buyers are holding tight, but are still buying in other ways. Its a funny market, one none of us can predict.

There are people out there that can see good buys but so many more are saying they will get better and are waiting.

December 11 2008 | Buyers and Sellers and The Market | 2 Comments »