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Property Report – March 2014

blue pen and small houseThe March 2014 NZ Property Report published by Realestate.co.nz provides an insight into the state of the New Zealand property market as measured by the supply side of the property market over the month of March. A full print version of the NZ Property Report – March 2014 is published below and is available for download (800kb) and distribution.

 

Summary of the market – March 2014

Residential asking prices reach new national high

CoverPage_Report_Jan14

Average asking prices of newly listed residential properties across New Zealand rose to a new record high in March driven by renewed seller confidence in the major centres.

The record high (seasonally adjusted) average asking price of $484,263 was driven up by new record asking prices in Auckland, Wellington, and Waikato.

Average Auckland asking prices have risen 12% in the last year, reaching $683,169 in March, Wellington asking prices rose 7% Year on Year to $469,487, and Waikato rose 10% Year on Year to $393,169,

New national listings in March showed lower levels than historic years, with 12,488 new homes come on the market. This equates to 2% less than the number of new listings seen in March 2013. However Auckland, Wellington, and Christchurch all saw a healthy increase in new listings, providing more selection in the biggest NZ region.

The inventory of unsold homes on the market recovered slightly in March, rising 8% from February to 28 weeks of stock, and shows that the market is beginning to see re-balancing. Due to the rise in listings Auckland began to see a recovery in inventory, rising 19% from 13 weeks to 15 weeks of stock.

Regional Summary – Asking price expectations

Regional map of asking price NZ Property Report Feb 2013

Following the record asking prices seen last month, national asking prices again reached new records in March of $484,263 (Seasonally Adjusted Truncated Mean)

Record high asking prices were seen in 3 regions in New Zealand; Auckland, where the average asking price reached a new high of $683,169 (up 12% on March 2013); Wellington, where asking prices reached $469,487 (up 7% on March 2013); and Waikato where asking prices reached $393,169 (up 10% on March 2013).

In total 8 regions saw asking price increases, with just 1 region reporting an asking price increases greater than 5%. Gisborne reported the largest increase, up 6% from February to $297,255.

Of the 11 regions witnessing asking price falls there were 5 that reported falls greater than 5%, Wairarapa saw the biggest fall, down 13% from February to $285,829. Followed by West Coast, who witnessed a fall of 12.4% to an average asking price of $280,427.

Regional Summary – Listings

Regional map of new listings NZ Property Report Feb 2014

March saw a lower level of new listings than expected, with 12,488 new homes coming on the market. This was down 2% from March last year to the lowest level of listings seen for March since 2009.

New listings fell across most of the country in March with just 5 of the 19 regions seeing a listing increase on a year on year basis.

Of the 14 regions that reported lower new listings than February last year the most significant fall was seen in Coromandel and Nelson, falling 29% and 25% respectively.

There were 5 regions reporting year on year increase of listings with Wellington reporting the biggest increase of listings (up 11% from March 2013).

In the other main centers, Auckland, reported 4,389 new listings, up 5% from March 2013 and Canterbury reported 1,473 new listings, up 3.7% from last year.

Regional Summary – Inventory

Regional map of inventory NZ Property Report Feb 14

The inventory of unsold homes on the market recovered slightly in March, rising 8% from February to 28 weeks of stock, and shows that the market is beginning to see re-balancing.

The rise in inventory during the last month was witnessed in 13 of the 19 NZ regions, but overall the market remains firmly a seller’s market, and inventory on the market remains well below the long-term average of 37 weeks of equivalent sales.

Market sentiment continues to favour sellers in 12 regions (marked in blue), with the greatest strain continuing to be felt in the 6 regions, which are marked in dark blue.

Due to a healthy rise in listings, Auckland began to see a recovery in inventory, rising 19% from 13 weeks to 15 weeks of stock.

The level of unsold houses on the market at the end of March (42,152) was up slightly, when compared to February (41,731).

 

For Media Enquiries, please contact:

Paul McKenzie, National Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz | +64 21 618 537

Notes:

Truncated mean The monthly asking price for new listings presented in this report utilises the measure of ‘truncated mean’. This measure is judged to be a more accurate measure of the market price than average price as it statistically removes the extremes that exist within any property market that can so easily introduce a skew to traditional average price figures. The truncated mean used in this report removes the upper 10% and the lower 10% of listings in each data set. An average or mean of the balance of listings is then calculated.

Methodology With the largest database of properties for sale in NZ from licensed real estate agents, realestate.co.nz is uniquely placed to immediately identify any changes in the marketplace. The realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report is compiled from new listings coming onto the market from the more than 1,000 licensed real estate offices across NZ, representing more than 97% of all offices. With an average monthly level of over 10,000 new listings, the realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report provides the largest monthly sample report on the residential property market, as well as a more timely view of the property market than any other property report. The data is collated and analysed at the close of each month, and the Report is compiled for the 1st day of the following month. This provides a feedback mechanism as to the immediate state of the market, well in advance of sales statistics, which by the very nature of the selling process can reflect activity with a lag of between 2 and 4 months.

Seasonally adjustment The core data for the NZ Property Report is seasonally adjusted to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in NZ. In preparing this seasonally adjusted data Realestate.co.nz is grateful for the assistance of the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) who use an X12 ARIMA methodology to calculate seasonally adjusted data.

Background to Realestate.co.nz Realestate.co.nz is the official website company of the real estate industry of New Zealand, it is an industry owned web business providing online marketing services to the real estate industry. The shareholders in the business comprise the REINZ (50%) and five of the largest real estate companies (50%). The business operates a portfolio of websites all focused to specialist sectors of the real estate market:

Realestate.co.nz is the heart of the business and is focused to the residential property market. The website attracts a significant monthly audience of over 760,000 unique browsers (Source: Nielsen Online Monthly UB, March 2014), with over 130,000 of those visiting from countries outside of NZ. In addition Realestate.co.nz receives over 42% of all traffic to property listings from mobile devices, including their iPhone and Android applications. To date these applications have been downloaded by over 200,000 users making the app the most popular property app in NZ. (popularity based on App Annie report of total downloads of property apps in New Zealand)

nzFarms is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of farms and agricultural businesses on the market across NZ. At this time it features around 3,000 listings for all types of farms and agricultural land as well as over 10,000 lifestyle properties.

Prime Commercial is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of commercial property for purchase or lease on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 25,000 listings for all types of properties – retail, commercial, industrial and investment properties.

Prime Business is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of businesses for sale on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 3,500 listings for all types of businesses – retail, tourism, wholesale as well as franchise opportunities.

Realestate.co.nz is the official online property listing company of the New Zealand real estate industry, currently hosting over 100,000 listings, covering this portfolio of residential property for sale and rent, commercial property for sale and lease, rural properties and farms, as well as businesses for sale. With a subscriber base of over 1,000 offices, the company represents over 97% of all listings from licensed real estate agents in NZ. The full NZ Property Report for March 2014 can be downloaded here (800kb pdf document). Additionally the raw data is accessible here as an Excel spreadsheet enabling anyone to analyse the raw data and establish any trends or observations. Usage rights are governed under attribution to the source of the data being Realestate.co.nz. The next NZ Property Report for March 2014 will be published on this website on 2nd May 2014 at 11am.

By Paul McKenzie, Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz

If you have any comments or enquiries about the NZ Property Market or about marketing your property online, please contact me via EmailGoogle, or Twitter

 

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Property Report – January 2014

Posted on: February 3rd, 2014 | Filed in Featured, Market News, NZ Property Report, Real Estate Industry News, Regional News

blue pen and small houseThe January 2014 NZ Property Report published by Realestate.co.nz provides an insight into the state of the New Zealand property market as measured by the supply side of the property market over the month of January. The key measures of the market analysed in the report are the number of new listings, the asking price expectation for those new listings and the level of inventory of unsold houses on the market at this time. The report is compiled from data captured by the website and represents close to 97% of all property movements in the NZ market as managed by licensed real estate agents.

A full print version of the NZ Property Report – January 2014 is published below and is available for download (800kb) and distribution.

Summary of the market – January 2014

Growth of new listings seen, as buyer interest surges to record heights

CoverPage_Report_Jan14

The new calendar year starts with a healthy flow of new listings, which will help to meet the rising demand for property that historically is seen in the coming two months of February, and March. In total January had 9,267 new properties come on the market, up 5% from the same time last year. This increase in new listings was apparent across most of New Zealand, with 13 of our 19 regions seeing an increase in listings from January last year.

Early indications of higher buyer demand are already being seen by Realestate.co.nz, website traffic in January hit record levels, with over 1.6 million visits to the Realestate.co.nz sites (Source – Google Analytics). It will be interesting to see how this increase in site traffic translates into sales in the coming months.

Asking prices of new listings rebounded in January, with the national (seasonally adjusted) mean reaching $476,797, just short of the record asking price seen in October last year of $482,063. Record high asking prices were seen in Canterbury ($449,149 – up 11.5% Year on Year) and Otago ($304,720 – up 1.6% year on year).

Asking Price

SA_AskingPrice_Jan14

The seasonally adjusted truncated mean asking price for listings recovered from the fall seen in December, up  5.6% to $476,797 (from December), and represents a 8% growth on January 2013.

The trend seen in the chart opposite, continues to show strenght in seller expectation, on the back of healthy listings, and a strong demand for homes across New Zealand.

Regional Summary – Asking price expectations

Regional map of asking price NZ Property Report Jan 2013

National asking prices recovered in January to $476,797 (Seasonally Adjusted Truncated Mean) from the fall seen in December, nearing record asking prices recorded in October 2013.

Record high asking prices were seen in 2 regions in New Zealand; Canterbury, where the average asking price reached a new high of $449,149 (up 11.5% on January 2013); and Otago, where asking prices reached $304,720 (up 1.6% on January 2013).

In the other main centers, both Auckland and Wellington reported an increase in average asking prices from last month, Auckland rose by 1% to $663,372, and Wellington rose 4.2% to $463,912. Both sit close to the record asking prices set in their respective regions in October 2013.

In total 8 regions saw asking price increases, with 3 regions reporting asking price increases greater than 5%. Coromandel reported the largest increase, up 28.7% from December to $493,934, followed by Waikato, which rose by 9% to $381,413.

Of the 11 regions witnessing asking price falls there were 4 that reported a falls greater than 5%, the most significant falls were recorded in Central Otago / Lakes, Wairarapa, Taranaki, and Hawkes Bay. Central Otago / Lakes fell by 9.2% to $619,516, Wairarapa fell 7.2% to $265,828, Taranaki fell 5.7% to 325,241, and Hawkes Bay fell 5.5% to $331,032.

Regional Summary – Listings

Regional map of new listings NZ Property Report Jan 2014

New listings rose across most of the country in January, with 13 of the 19 regions seeing an increase in listings on a year-on-year basis.

Of the 13 regions that reported higher new listings than January last year the most significant increase in listings was seen in Coromandel, rising 39.8%, Central North Island, which rose by 29%, and Waikato, where listings were up 25% year on year.

Record low numbers of new listings were seen in Gisborne – which had just 52 new homes listed in January.

There were 6 regions reporting year on year decreases with Gisborne reporting the biggest decrease of listings (down 34.2%).

In the main centers, Auckland, Wellington, and Canterbury saw an increase in new listings. Auckland reported 2,723 new listings, up 1.2% from January 2013, Wellington reported 836 new listings, up 5% from last year, and Canterbury, saw a 8% rise in listings, with 1,082 new listings coming on the market.

Regional Summary – Inventory

Regional map of inventory NZ Property Report Dec_2013

The level of unsold houses on the market at the end of January (40,219) was up, when compared to December (38,804). The inventory as measured in terms of equivalent weeks of sales rose in January to 26.8 weeks, recovering to levels not seen since April last year

While this increase in the last month was seen in 13 of the 19 NZ regions, the market remains firmly a seller’s market, and inventory on the market remains well below the long-term average of 37 weeks of equivalent sales.

 

For Media Enquiries, please contact:

Paul McKenzie, National Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz | +64 21 618 537

Notes:

Truncated mean The monthly asking price for new listings presented in this report utilises the measure of ‘truncated mean’. This measure is judged to be a more accurate measure of the market price than average price as it statistically removes the extremes that exist within any property market that can so easily introduce a skew to traditional average price figures. The truncated mean used in this report removes the upper 10% and the lower 10% of listings in each data set. An average or mean of the balance of listings is then calculated.

Methodology With the largest database of properties for sale in NZ from licensed real estate agents, realestate.co.nz is uniquely placed to immediately identify any changes in the marketplace. The realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report is compiled from new listings coming onto the market from the more than 1,000 licensed real estate offices across NZ, representing more than 97% of all offices. With an average monthly level of over 10,000 new listings, the realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report provides the largest monthly sample report on the residential property market, as well as a more timely view of the property market than any other property report. The data is collated and analysed at the close of each month, and the Report is compiled for the 1st day of the following month. This provides a feedback mechanism as to the immediate state of the market, well in advance of sales statistics, which by the very nature of the selling process can reflect activity with a lag of between 2 and 4 months.

Seasonally adjustment The core data for the NZ Property Report is seasonally adjusted to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in NZ. In preparing this seasonally adjusted data Realestate.co.nz is grateful for the assistance of the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) who use an X12 ARIMA methodology to calculate seasonally adjusted data.

Background to Realestate.co.nz Realestate.co.nz is the official website company of the real estate industry of New Zealand, it is an industry owned web business providing online marketing services to the real estate industry. The shareholders in the business comprise the REINZ (50%) and five of the largest real estate companies (50%). The business operates a portfolio of websites all focused to specialist sectors of the real estate market:

Realestate.co.nz is the heart of the business and is focused to the residential property market. The website attracts a significant monthly audience of over 615,000 unique browsers (Source: Google Analytics), with over 130,000 of those visiting from countries outside of NZ. In addition Realestate.co.nz receives over 30% of all traffic to property listings from mobile devices, including their iPhone and Android applications. To date these applications have been downloaded by over 190,000 users making the app the most popular property app in NZ.

nzFarms is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of farms and agricultural businesses on the market across NZ. At this time it features around 3,000 listings for all types of farms and agricultural land as well as over 10,000 lifestyle properties.

Prime Commercial is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of commercial property for purchase or lease on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 25,000 listings for all types of properties – retail, commercial, industrial and investment properties.

Prime Business is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of businesses for sale on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 3,500 listings for all types of businesses – retail, tourism, wholesale as well as franchise opportunities.

Realestate.co.nz is the official online property listing website of the New Zealand real estate industry, currently hosting over 100,000 listings, covering this portfolio of residential property for sale and rent, commercial property for sale and lease, rural properties and farms, as well as businesses for sale. With a subscriber base of over 1,000 offices, the company represents over 97% of all listings from licensed real estate agents in NZ. The full NZ Property Report for January 2014 can be downloaded here (800kb pdf document). Additionally the raw data is accessible here as an Excel spreadsheet enabling anyone to analyse the raw data and establish any trends or observations. Usage rights are governed under attribution to the source of the data being Realestate.co.nz. The next NZ Property Report for February 2014 will be published on this website on 1st March 2014 at 11am.

By Paul McKenzie, Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz

If you have any comments or enquiries about the NZ Property Market or about marketing your property online, please contact me via EmailGoogle, or Twitter

 

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Property Report – October 2013

Posted on: November 1st, 2013 | Filed in Featured, NZ Property Report, Regional News

blue pen and small houseThe October 2013 NZ Property Report published by Realestate.co.nz provides an insight into the state of the New Zealand property market as measured by the supply side of the property market over the month of October. The key measures of the market analysed in the report are the number of new listings, the asking price expectation for those new listings and the level of inventory of unsold houses on the market at this time. The report is compiled from data captured by the website and represents close to 97% of all property movements in the NZ market as managed by licensed real estate agents.

A full print version of the NZ Property Report – October 2013 is published below and is available for download (2.1mb) and distribution.

Summary of the market – October 2013

National average asking price hits new record high of $482,063

CoverPage_Report_Oct13The property market continues to show signs of confidence and heightened activity as compared to the last few years. Off the back of the record high asking prices seen last month, seller confidence has again pushed up the (seasonally adjusted) truncated mean asking price to a new record high of $482,063 in October.

Record high asking prices were seen in the main centers of Auckland, Wellington, and Christchurch regions; and were also seen in Hawkes Bay, and Coromandel. The new high of $666,126 in Auckland represents a 3% increase on September. Canterbury’s record high was 6% up to $441,908, and Wellington’s high of $465,050 was 3% higher than the previous high seen in February this year.

October saw a significant rise in the number of new listings, with 13,978 new listings (27% more listings than September); and this rise has lead to some balancing of the property market in Auckland, and Canterbury.

Asking Price

SA_AskingPrice_Oct13The seasonally adjusted truncated mean asking price for new listings hit a new record high of $482,063 last month, a rise of 8% from October 2012, and up 3% from September.

The trend as seen in the chart opposite, continues to show strength in seller price expectation, on the back of low listings, and strong demand in the main centres

New Listings

TotalNewListings_Oct13The level of new listings coming onto the market in October rose significantly to 13,978 from 11,000 in September. This represents a rise of 27%, and is up 10% when compared to October last year

On a 12 month moving average basis a total of 132,479 new listings have come onto the market since November 2012 as compared to 132,291 in the prior 12 month period, a rise of just 0.1%.

Inventory

InventorySA_MMA_Oct13The level of unsold homes on the market at the end of October (38,577) remained well down as compared to October last year (43,410), a drop of 11%.

The inventory as measured in terms of equivalent weeks of sales remained the same as the last month, 24.2 weeks of stock available.

The market remains firmly a seller’s market; with 16 of the 19 regions showing inventory levels that are well below long term averages.

Regional Summary – Asking price expectations

Regional map of asking price NZ Property Report Oct_2013The national (seasonally adjusted) truncated mean asking price expectation among sellers rose by 3.3% in October to a new record high asking price of $482,063

Record high asking prices were also seen 5 regions throughout New Zealand; Auckland, where the average asking price reached $666,126 (up 9% on October 2012); Wellington, where the asking price reached $465,050 (up 3% on October 2012), Canterbury, where the asking price reached $465,050 (up 3% on October 2012); Hawkes Bay, where the asking price reached $375,209 (up 8% on October 2012); and Coromandel, where the asking price reached $506,766 (up 14% on October 2012);

In total 10 regions saw asking price increases, with Hawkes Bay the largest increase, up 7.3% from September to $375,209. Of the 9 regions witnessing asking price falls there were 5 that reported a falls greater than 5%, West Coast fell by 13% to $264,836, Marlborough fell 9% to $394,631, Central North Island fell 9% to $348,473, Gisborne fell 6.6% to $276,238, and Southland fell 5% to $226,501.

Regional Summary – Listings

Regional map of new listings NZ Property Report Oct_2013Spring listings continued flowing onto the market last month, with 13,978 new homes coming on the market.

There were 14 regions reporting year on year increases with Central North Island reporting the biggest increase of listings (up 39%), followed by Nelson, where a 34% increase was recorded.

Of the 5 regions that reported lower new listings than October last year West Coast was the region to report the highest fall -18%, followed by Central Lakes, which saw a fall of 16%.

In the main centers, Auckland, and Canterbury saw a significant lift in new listings. Auckland reported 4,783 new listings, up 19% from October 2012, and Canterbury reported 1,549 new listings, up 11% from last year. Wellington, saw a 5% fall in listings, with just 1,049 new listings coming on the market.

Regional Summary – Inventory

Regional map of inventory NZ Property Report Oct_2013The inventory of unsold homes on the market remained low in October at 24 weeks of equivalent sales.

Market sentiment continues remains firmly in favour of sellers in 16 regions, with the greatest strain being felt in the 12 regions that are marked in darker blue. This includes the main metro areas of Auckland, Wellington, and Canterbury, which remain under pressure from low listings as measured against sales activity.

Two regions (Central North Island, and West Coast) showed an increase in inventory of homes on the market, taking them above their respective long-term average. In addition 1 other region (Southland) sits close to its long-term average

For Media Enquiries, please contact:

Paul McKenzie, National Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz | +64 21 618 537

Or Phillip Dunn, Acting CEO, Realestate.co.nz | +64 21 807 640

Notes:

Truncated mean The monthly asking price for new listings presented in this report utilises the measure of ‘truncated mean’. This measure is judged to be a more accurate measure of the market price than average price as it statistically removes the extremes that exist within any property market that can so easily introduce a skew to traditional average price figures. The truncated mean used in this report removes the upper 10% and the lower 10% of listings in each data set. An average or mean of the balance of listings is then calculated.

Methodology With the largest database of properties for sale in NZ from licensed real estate agents, realestate.co.nz is uniquely placed to immediately identify any changes in the marketplace. The realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report is compiled from new listings coming onto the market from the more than 1,000 licensed real estate offices across NZ, representing more than 97% of all offices. With an average monthly level of over 10,000 new listings, the realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report provides the largest monthly sample report on the residential property market, as well as a more timely view of the property market than any other property report. The data is collated and analysed at the close of each month, and the Report is compiled for the 1st day of the following month. This provides a feedback mechanism as to the immediate state of the market, well in advance of sales statistics, which by the very nature of the selling process can reflect activity with a lag of between 2 and 4 months.

Seasonally adjustment The core data for the NZ Property Report is seasonally adjusted to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in NZ. In preparing this seasonally adjusted data Realestate.co.nz is grateful for the assistance of the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) who use an X12 ARIMA methodology to calculate seasonally adjusted data.

Background to Realestate.co.nz Realestate.co.nz is the official website company of the real estate industry of New Zealand, it is an industry owned web business providing online marketing services to the real estate industry. The shareholders in the business comprise the REINZ (50%) and five of the largest real estate companies (50%). The business operates a portfolio of websites all focused to specialist sectors of the real estate market:

Realestate.co.nz is the heart of the business and is focused to the residential property market. It features the most comprehensive selection of property for sale and rent across NZ. The website attracts a significant monthly audience of over 580,000 unique browsers, with over 130,000 of those visiting from countries outside of NZ. In addition Realestate.co.nz receives over 30% of all traffic to property listings from mobile devices, including their iPhone and Android applications. To date these applications have been downloaded by over 175,000 users making the app the most popular property app in NZ.

nzFarms is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of farms and agricultural businesses on the market across NZ. At this time it features around 3,000 listings for all types of farms and agricultural land as well as over 10,000 lifestyle properties.

Prime Commercial is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of commercial property for purchase or lease on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 25,000 listings for all types of properties – retail, commercial, industrial and investment properties.

Prime Business is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of businesses for sale on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 3,500 listings for all types of businesses – retail, tourism, wholesale as well as franchise opportunities.

The web business of Realestate.co.nz site is the most comprehensive real estate web operation in NZ, currently hosting over 110,000 listings, covering this portfolio of residential property for sale and rent, commercial property for sale and lease, rural properties and farms, as well as businesses for sale. With a subscriber base of over 1,000 offices, the company represents over 97% of all listings from licensed real estate agents in NZ. The full NZ Property Report for September 2013 can be downloaded here (2.1mb pdf document). Additionally the raw data is accessible here as an Excel spreadsheet enabling anyone to analyse the raw data and establish any trends or observations. Usage rights are governed under attribution to the source of the data being Realestate.co.nz. The next NZ Property Report for November 2013 will be published on this website on 1st December 2013 at 11am.

By Paul McKenzie, Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz

If you have any comments or enquiries about the NZ Property Market or about marketing your property online, please contact me via EmailGoogle, or Twitter

 

1

NZ Property Report – September 2013

Posted on: October 1st, 2013 | Filed in Featured, NZ Property Report, Real Estate Industry, Regional News

blue pen and small houseThe September 2013 NZ Property Report published by Realestate.co.nz provides an insight into the state of the New Zealand property market as measured by the supply side of the property market over the month of September. The key measures of the market analysed in the report are the number of new listings, the asking price expectation for those new listings and the level of inventory of unsold houses on the market at this time. The report is compiled from data captured by the website and represents close to 97% of all property movements in the NZ market as managed by licensed real estate agents.

A full print version of the NZ Property Report – September 2013 is published below and is available for download (950kb) and distribution.

Summary of the market – September 2013

National average asking price hits new record high of $466,526

CoverPage_Report_Sep13

Seller confidence has pushed up the (seasonally adjusted) truncated mean asking price to a new high of $466,526. The rise in asking price was noticeable across more than half of New Zealand, with 14 regions reporting a rise in asking price.

Record high asking prices were also seen in Waikato and Coromandel regions; the new high of $384,595 in Waikato represents a 3.9% increase on August. While Coromandel’s new high was 1.4% up to $505,867 from the prior high of $498,660 set last month.

The first month of spring saw a steady number of new listings come on the market, with 11,000 new listings in September, this was up 2.7% from August, however was slightly down on September 2012.

Asking Price

SA_AskingPrice_Sep13

The seasonally adjusted truncated mean asking price for new listings hit a new record high of $466,526 last month, a rise of 8.7% from September 2012, and up 0.7% from August.

The trend as seen in the chart opposite, continues to show strength in seller price expectation, on the back of low listings, and strong demand in the main centres

New Listings

TotalNewListings_Sep13The level of new listings coming onto the market in September rose to 11,000 from 10,715 in August. This represents a rise of 2.7%, and is down, 1.4% when compared to September last year

On a 12 month moving average basis a total of 131,189 new listings have come onto the market since October 2012 as compared to 130,915 in the prior 12 month period, a rise of just 0.2%.

 

Inventory

InventorySA_MMA_Sep13The level of unsold homes on the market at the end of September (36,178) remained well down as compared to September last year (41,726), a drop of 13%.

The inventory as measured in terms of equivalent weeks of sales remained close to the record low seen last month, 24.2 weeks of stock available.

The market remains firmly a seller’s market; with 16 of the 19 regions showing inventory levels that are well below long term averages.

Regional Summary – Asking price expectations

Regional map of asking price NZ Property Report Sep_2013The national (seasonally adjusted) truncated mean asking price expectation among sellers rose by 0.7% in September to a new record high asking price of $466,526.

Record high asking prices were also seen in Waikato, where the average asking price reached $384,595 (up 8.5% on September 2012), and the Coromandel, where the asking price reached $505,867 (up 15.9% on September 2012).

In the main centres, Auckland fell in September to $644,968, from the record high reported last month. The asking price in both Wellington and Canterbury rose in September to $446,503, and $418,032 respectively.

In total 14 regions reported asking price increases, with Marlbourgh the largest increase, up 18.6% to $435,773. Of the 5 regions witnessing asking price falls on a seasonally adjusted basis there was just one that reported a fall greater than 5%, Wairarapa fell by 5.5% to $255,747.

 

Regional Summary – Listings

Regional map of new listings NZ Property Report Sep_2013Spring listings began flowing onto the market last month, with 11,000 new homes coming on the market.

There were 9 regions reporting year on year increases with Northland reporting the biggest increase of listings (up 41.2%), followed by West Coast, where a 38.6% increase was recorded.

Of the 10 regions that reported lower new listings than September last year Gisborne was the region to report the highest fall -25% when compared to September 2012, followed by Marlbourgh, which saw a fall of 22%.

In the main centers, Auckland had a similar number of new listing as September 2012. Both Wellington, and Christchurch saw a fall in listings; with Canterbury reporting a 2.5% year on year fall, and Wellington reporting a 11.8% fall on September 2012.

Regional Summary – Inventory

Regional map of inventory NZ Property Report Sep_2013The inventory of unsold homes on the market remained low in September at 24 weeks of equivalent sales.

Market sentiment remains firmly in favour of sellers in 16 regions, with the greatest strain being felt in the 12 regions that are marked in darker blue. This includes the main metro areas of Auckland, Wellington, and Canterbury, which remain under pressure from low listings as measured against sales activity.

Two regions (Southland, and West Coast) showed an increase in inventory of homes on the market, taking them above their respective long-term average. In addition 1 other region (Gisborne) sits close to its long-term average.

 

Lifestyle

LifestyleListings_Sep13New lifestyle property listings had a boost across the country in September. A total of 847 listings came onto the market, showing a jump of 13% when compared to August, but a fall of 11% when compared to September last year. The national truncated mean asking price for these listings was up 5.7% to a record high of $706,799 (and up 8.8% when compared to September 2012). Record high asking prices were reported in Auckland, Waikato, and Canterbury.

Apartments

ApartmentListing_Sep13New listings for apartments in September were up 2.1% on a year on year basis, and down 10.6% from August, with 487 being brought to the market. The truncated mean asking price of new apartment listings rose 1% to $407,989 in September from $404,392 in August, and was up 2% on a year on year basis.

The Auckland apartment market had 384 new listings, down 0.3% when compared to August last year. The truncated mean asking price of new listings in Auckland rose 1.6% to $390,850, from $384,816 in August. When compared to the recent 3-month average, this represents an increase of 2.1%.

For Media Enquiries, please contact:

Paul McKenzie, Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz | +64 21 618 537

Or Phillip Dunn, Acting CEO, Realestate.co.nz | +64 21 807 640

Notes:

Truncated mean The monthly asking price for new listings presented in this report utilises the measure of ‘truncated mean’. This measure is judged to be a more accurate measure of the market price than average price as it statistically removes the extremes that exist within any property market that can so easily introduce a skew to traditional average price figures. The truncated mean used in this report removes the upper 10% and the lower 10% of listings in each data set. An average or mean of the balance of listings is then calculated.

Methodology With the largest database of properties for sale in NZ from licensed real estate agents, realestate.co.nz is uniquely placed to immediately identify any changes in the marketplace. The realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report is compiled from new listings coming onto the market from the more than 1,000 licensed real estate offices across NZ, representing more than 97% of all offices. With an average monthly level of over 10,000 new listings, the realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report provides the largest monthly sample report on the residential property market, as well as a more timely view of the property market than any other property report. The data is collated and analysed at the close of each month, and the Report is compiled for the 1st day of the following month. This provides a feedback mechanism as to the immediate state of the market, well in advance of sales statistics, which by the very nature of the selling process can reflect activity with a lag of between 2 and 4 months.

Seasonally adjustment The core data for the NZ Property Report is seasonally adjusted to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in NZ. In preparing this seasonally adjusted data Realestate.co.nz is grateful for the assistance of the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) who use an X12 ARIMA methodology to calculate seasonally adjusted data.

Background to Realestate.co.nz Realestate.co.nz is the official website company of the real estate industry of New Zealand, it is an industry owned web business providing online marketing services to the real estate industry. The shareholders in the business comprise the REINZ (50%) and five of the largest real estate companies (50%). The business operates a portfolio of websites all focused to specialist sectors of the real estate market:

Realestate.co.nz is the heart of the business and is focused to the residential property market. It features the most comprehensive selection of property for sale and rent across NZ. The website attracts a significant monthly audience of over 550,000 unique browsers, with over 120,000 of those visiting from countries outside of NZ. In addition Realestate.co.nz receives over 30% of all traffic to property listings from mobile devices, including their iPhone and Android applications. To date these applications have been downloaded by over 170,000 users making the app the most popular property app in NZ.

nzFarms is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of farms and agricultural businesses on the market across NZ. At this time it features around 3,000 listings for all types of farms and agricultural land as well as over 10,000 lifestyle properties.

Prime Commercial is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of commercial property for purchase or lease on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 25,000 listings for all types of properties – retail, commercial, industrial and investment properties.

Prime Business is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of businesses for sale on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 3,500 listings for all types of businesses – retail, tourism, wholesale as well as franchise opportunities.

The web business of Realestate.co.nz site is the most comprehensive real estate web operation in NZ, currently hosting over 110,000 listings, covering this portfolio of residential property for sale and rent, commercial property for sale and lease, rural properties and farms, as well as businesses for sale. With a subscriber base of over 1,000 offices, the company represents over 97% of all listings from licensed real estate agents in NZ. The full NZ Property Report for September 2013 can be downloaded here (950kb pdf document). Additionally the raw data is accessible here as an Excel spreadsheet enabling anyone to analyse the raw data and establish any trends or observations. Usage rights are governed under attribution to the source of the data being Realestate.co.nz. The next NZ Property Report for October 2013 will be published on this website on 1st November 2013 at 10am.

By Paul McKenzie, Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz

If you have any comments or enquiries about the NZ Property Market or about marketing your property online, please contact me via EmailGoogle, or Twitter

 

2

NZ Property Report – July 2013

Posted on: August 1st, 2013 | Filed in Featured, Market News, NZ Property Report, Regional News

The July 2013 NZ Property Report published by Realestate.co.nz provides an insight into the state of the New Zealand property market as measured by the supply side of the property market over the month of July. The key measures of the market analysed in the report are the number of new listings, the asking price expectation for those new listings and the level of inventory of unsold houses on the market at this time. The report is compiled from data captured by the website and represents close to 97% of all property movements in the NZ market as managed by licensed real estate agents.

A full print version of the NZ Property Report – July 2013 is published below and is available for download (1.2MB) and distribution.

Summary of the market – July 2013

National asking price reaches a new record high

Property Report Cover Page_JulyThe winter months have not reduced demand for homes in New Zealand, and because of this seller confidence has pushed up the (seasonally adjusted) truncated mean asking price to a new high of $465,191. The rise in asking price was noticeable across more than half of New Zealand, with 13 regions reporting a rise in asking price.

Record high asking prices were also seen in Auckland, Canterbury, and West Coast regions; The new high of $639,685 in Auckland represents a 1.3% increase on it’s previous high, also in May. While in Canterbury and West Coast’s new highs were set at $422,043 and $318,816 respectively.

Across the country the level of inventory of property on the market eased in July to 26.7 weeks, but remains low when measured against the historical average. The next 3 months heading out of winter and into spring will see a seasonal lift in activity of both listings and sales. The key issue will be to what extent the rise in new listings can ease the pressure that the major centers are seeing.

Asking Price

SA_AskingPrice_Jul13The seasonally adjusted truncated mean asking price for listings rose 8.4% (from July 2012) and reached a new record high of $465,191. This new record asking price was up from the prior peak of $454,795 reached in May 2013.

The trend as seen in the chart opposite, continues to show strength in seller price expectation, on the back of low listings, and strong demand in the main centres

New Listings

TotalNewListings_Jul13

New listings in July recovered from the lows reported in June, with 9,857 new listings coming to the market. Up 9% when compared to June, and up 5% on last year.

On a 12 month moving average basis a total of 131,343 new listings have come onto the market since August 2012 as compared to 130,878 in the prior 12 month period, a rise of just 0.4%.

Inventory

InventorySA_MMA_Jul13The number of new listings helped to ease inventory pressure (as measured in weeks of equivalent sales), which sits at 26.7 weeks, up 7% on last month’s record low. However, this still represents a 14% dip year on year and is well below the long term average of 38 weeks.

The level of unsold houses on the market at the end of July (36,231) was down 4%, when compared to June (37,615).

The market remains firmly a seller’s market; with 14 of the 19 regions showing inventory levels that are well below long term averages.

Regional Summary – Asking price expectations

Regional map of asking price NZ Property Report Jul 2013The national asking price expectation among sellers rose by 3.3% in July, to a new national record high asking price of $465,191. (seasonally adjusted truncated mean). This was more than $10,000 higher than the previous record of $454,795 set in May this year.

In the main centres, both Auckland and Canterbury posted record highs of $639,685, and $422,043 respectively in July. In total 13 regions reported asking price increases, with 5 regions reporting a rise of greater than 5% from June. The most significant rise was seen in the Marlborough, up 8.2% to $267,350. Of the 6 regions witnessing asking price falls on a seasonally adjusted basis there was just 1 that reported a fall greater than 5%, Coromandel showed the largest fall, down 6.4% to $406,446.

Regional Summary – Listings

LRegional map of new listings NZ Property Report Jul 2013istings started to flow back into the market last month.

There were 14 of the 19 regions that reported  a increase of new listings on the prior year, with 1 region reporting a rise of over 20%.

The most significant rise in listings was seen in Central North Island, which rose by 77.4%, a level not seen in Central North Island since November 2011.

Of the 5 regions that reported lower new listings than July last year Gisborne was the region to report the highest fall -28% when compared to July 2012, followed by Manawatu / Wanganui which saw an fall of 18.7%.

In the main centers (Auckland, Wellington, and Christchurch) the pressure eased slightly, with all three regions reporting close of 5% increases on July 2012

Regional Summary – Inventory

Regional map of inventory NZ Property Report Jul 2013The inventory of unsold homes on the market eased slightly in July to 27 weeks of equivalent sales.

Central Otago / Lakes hit record low inventory levels in July; falling to 55 weeks, 41% below its long term average

Market sentiment remains in favour of sellers in 15 regions, with the greatest strain being felt in the 8 regions that are marked in darker blue. This continues to include the main metro areas of Auckland, and Canterbury, although there was some easing, they continue to remain under pressure from low listings.

Four regions (Southland, West Coast, Wairarapa, and Manawatu / Wanganui) showed an increase in inventory of homes on the market, taking them above their respective long-term average. In addition 1 other region (Taranaki) sits close to its long term average.

Lifestyle

LifestyleListings_Jul13New lifestyle property listings fell across the country in July. A total of just 620 listings came onto the market, showing a fall of 9% when compared to June, and a fall of 12% when compared to July last year. Canterbury saw record low numbers of new lifestyle listings for a 2nd month, with just 58 coming to the market. The national truncated mean asking price of $698,868 set a new record high asking price, up by 3.6% as compared to the recent 3-month average (and up 9% when compared to July 2012). Record high asking prices were also reported in Auckland, Nelson, Otago, and Central Otago / Lakes regions.

Apartments

ApartmentListing_Jul13New listings for apartments in July were up 16.7% on a year on year basis, and up 18% from June, with 531 being brought to the market. The truncated mean asking price of new apartment listings rose 3.2% to $386,393 in July from $374,374 in June, and was up 8.3% on a year on year basis.

The Auckland apartment market had 373 new listings, up 16% when compared to July last year. The truncated mean asking price of new listings in Auckland rose to $388,891, up from $354,882 in June. When compared to the recent 3-month average, this represents an increase of 6.8%.

For Media Enquiries, please contact: Paul McKenzie, Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz | +64 21 618 537

Notes:

Truncated mean The monthly asking price for new listings presented in this report utilises the measure of ‘truncated mean’. This measure is judged to be a more accurate measure of the market price than average price as it statistically removes the extremes that exist within any property market that can so easily introduce a skew to traditional average price figures. The truncated mean used in this report removes the upper 10% and the lower 10% of listings in each data set. An average or mean of the balance of listings is then calculated.

Methodology With the largest database of properties for sale in NZ from licensed real estate agents, realestate.co.nz is uniquely placed to immediately identify any changes in the marketplace. The realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report is compiled from new listings coming onto the market from the more than 1,000 licensed real estate offices across NZ, representing more than 97% of all offices. With an average monthly level of over 10,000 new listings, the realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report provides the largest monthly sample report on the residential property market, as well as a more timely view of the property market than any other property report. The data is collated and analysed at the close of each month, and the Report is compiled for the 1st day of the following month. This provides a feedback mechanism as to the immediate state of the market, well in advance of sales statistics, which by the very nature of the selling process can reflect activity with a lag of between 2 and 4 months.

Seasonally adjustment The core data for the NZ Property Report is seasonally adjusted to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in NZ. In preparing this seasonally adjusted data Realestate.co.nz is grateful for the assistance of the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) who use an X12 ARIMA methodology to calculate seasonally adjusted data.

Background to Realestate.co.nz Realestate.co.nz is the official website company of the real estate industry of New Zealand, it is an industry owned web business providing online marketing services to the real estate industry. The shareholders in the business comprise the REINZ (50%) and five of the largest real estate companies (50%). The business operates a portfolio of websites all focused to specialist sectors of the real estate market:

Realestate.co.nz is the heart of the business and is focused to the residential property market. It features the most comprehensive selection of property for sale and rent across NZ. The website attracts a significant monthly audience of over 500,000 unique browsers, with over 120,000 of those visiting from countries outside of NZ. In addition Realestate.co.nz receives over 30% of all traffic to property listings from mobile devices, including their iPhone and Android applications. To date these applications have been downloaded by over 165,000 users making the app the most popular property app in NZ.

nzFarms is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of farms and agricultural businesses on the market across NZ. At this time it features around 3,000 listings for all types of farms and agricultural land as well as over 10,000 lifestyle properties.

Prime Commercial is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of commercial property for purchase or lease on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 25,000 listings for all types of properties – retail, commercial, industrial and investment properties.

Prime Business is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of businesses for sale on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 3,500 listings for all types of businesses – retail, tourism, wholesale as well as franchise opportunities.

The web business of Realestate.co.nz site is the most comprehensive real estate web operation in NZ, currently hosting over 110,000 listings, covering this portfolio of residential property for sale and rent, commercial property for sale and lease, rural properties and farms, as well as businesses for sale. With a subscriber base of over 1,000 offices, the company represents over 97% of all listings from licensed real estate agents in NZ. The full NZ Property Report for July 2013 can be downloaded here (1.2MB pdf document). Additionally the raw data is accessible here as an Excel spreadsheet enabling anyone to analyse the raw data and establish any trends or observations. Usage rights are governed under attribution to the source of the data being Realestate.co.nz. The next NZ Property Report for August 2013 will be published on this website on 1st September 2013 at 10am.

By Paul McKenzie, Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz

If you have any comments or enquiries about the NZ Property Market or about marketing your property online, please contact me via EmailGoogle, or Twitter

0

NZFarms.co.nz partners with Interest.co.nz

Posted on: June 13th, 2013 | Filed in Company News, Regional News, Website news

To ensure that your farm listings reach even more people, NZfarms.co.nz has recently partnered with popular news site interest.co.nz to display farming listings on a new Farms for Sale section within their site.

The new section appears on interest.co.nz within their rural news section.

Paul McKenzie, Marketing Manager of NZfarms.co.nz says, “This alliance is great news for New Zealand’s real estate farming agents; now together with interest.co.nz we can promote our listings to even more people.”

This is a great new way that we can ensure that your properties get more viewed by more people who are interested in Farming. It will also boost the public profile and awareness of NZfarms.co.nz

We are very excited by this development as a further means for NZfarms.co.nz to provide increased profile and advertising for our customers’ listings.

How it works: Interest.co.nz uses the API of Realestate.co.nz listings to populate their website. These include all the content of the listings including photos, description as well as agent contact details. By using the API the listings on Interest.co.nz are synchronised with Realestate.co.nz, so new listings and withdrawn listings are updated at the same time.

Keep an eye on this space. In the future we will be looking to feed other property types (such as Lifestyle homes, and commercial properties) to key partners within both NZ & Overseas.

NZFarms is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of farms and agricultural businesses on the market across NZ. At this time it features around 3,000 listings for all types of farms and agricultural land as well as over 10,000 lifestyle properties.

By Paul McKenzie, Marketing Manager, NZFarms.co.nz

If you have any comments or enquiries about the NZ Property Market or about marketing your farms online, please contact me via EmailGoogle, or Twitter

2

NZ Property Report – November 2012

The November 2012 NZ Property Report published by Realestate.co.nz provides an insight into the state of the New Zealand property market as measured by the supply side of the property market over the month of November. The key measures of the market analysed in the report are the number of new listings, the asking price expectation for those new listings and the level of inventory of unsold houses on the market at this time. The report is compiled from data captured by the website and represents close to 97% of all property movements in the NZ market as managed by licensed real estate agents.

A full print version of the NZ Property Report – November 2012 is published below and is available for download (1.2MB) and distribution.

Summary of the market – November 2012

Inventory hits 5 year low and adds growing pressure to the property market

The message coming from the property market is that buyers are out and about and are keen to get into the market. This eagerness to buy is matched by the availability of attractive mortgage packages, but is not being met with sufficient supply of new property listings, which is continuing to drive the current sellers market.

Inventory levels across the country remain low and the market remains a firms sellers market across 15 of NZ’s 19 regions. Overall stocks of unsold homes fell to a 5 year low of 28.7 weeks of inventory (long term average = 39 weeks). Auckland was again the most affected by low inventory levels, with stocks of unsold homes falling to a new low of 15.5 weeks of inventory, well below the long term average of 31 weeks.

The REINZ Residential Market Statistics reports strong property sales with 6,640 properties sold in October, up 33% on a year ago, and yet listing flow is not matching with just a 1.5% year on year growth. This is why the inventory supply of the property on the market (as measured by rate of sale) has fallen 29% in the past year.

This confidence on the part of sellers is certainly supported by the rate of sale of property which is being shared by real estate agents in their daily contact with the public, and can also be seen in traffic to Realestate.co.nz which has seen an increase this year of 40%, with over 1,400,000 monthly visitor sessions across all sites (Google Analytics).

 

Asking Price

The seasonally adjusted truncated mean asking price for listings steadied, rising just 0.2% to high of $446,277 in November.

The trend (as seen in the chart opposite) very clearly shows an accelerating growth in asking price over the recent 12 months (as compared to 2010/11) and shows continued strength in seller expectations.

 

New Listings

The level of new listings coming onto the market in November continued to increase, with 13,571 listings in the month – up from 12,688 in October (7% increase). However listings were only slightly up by 1.5% on November last year.

On a 12 month moving total basis the number of new listings that have come onto the market in the last year totals 132,493, as compared to 124,940 in the prior 12-month period, this represents a rise of 6%.

 

Inventory

The level of unsold houses on the market at the end of November (45,228) was up, when compared to October (43,410). The inventory as measured in terms of equivalent weeks of sales fell to a 5 year low last month to 28.7 weeks last month. This fall was witnessed across 15 of the 19 regions.

With the rising rate of property sales, the inventory on the market has seen a significant drop over the last 12 months pushing it well below the long-term average of 39 weeks of equivalent sales.

 

Regional Summary – Asking price expectations

The national (seasonally adjusted) truncated mean asking price expectation among sellers rose just 0.2% in November to a new high of $446,277.

In the main centers, Auckland, Wellington, and Christchurch all reported a fall in the asking price in November. Auckland fell 2.5% to $596,759, Wellington fell 4.2% to $431,259 and Canterbury fell 2% to $405,913.

In total 10 regions reported asking price increases, and 5 regions saw rises greater than 5%. The most significant rises were seen in the Central North Island, Northland, Manawatu/Wanganui and Southland with Central North Island showing the largest increases, up 6.9% to $369,390. Of the 9 regions witnessing asking price falls on a seasonally adjusted basis there was 3 that reported a falls of greater than 5% with Gisborne falling by 14.4% to $250,866, Hawkes Bay falling by 10.3% to $321,454 and Wairarapa falling 7.3% to $254,194

 

Regional Summary – Listings

Overall new listings increased on a national basis, as seen in the adjacent chart however across the regions there were slightly more regions showing increases than falls.

There were 11 regions reporting year-on-year rises, with significant increases (over 20%) seen in just 2 regions, the largest increases were in Gisborne (25%), and Otago (20%).

7 regions reported lower new listings than November last year with the Central North Island being the region to report the highest fall off of 35.8% when compared to November 2011, Followed by Northland who saw a fall of 21%

 

Regional Summary – Inventory

The inventory of unsold homes on the market tightened significantly in March – Falling to a new low of 28.7 weeks off equivalent sales from 33 weeks (on a seasonally adjusted basis).

Four regions (Southland, West Coast, Coromandel, and Wairarapa) showed increases in inventory of homes on the market taking them above their respective long-term average. In addition one other region (Manawatu / Wanganui) sits close to it’s respective long term average.

Market sentiment now favours sellers in 14 regions, with the greatest strain being felt in the 8 regions which are marked in dark blue, which includes the main metro areas of Auckland, Wellington, and Canterbury which remain under pressure from low listings as measured against sales activity.

 

Lifestyle

New lifestyle property listings fell across the country in November, dropping 4.9% when compared to October. A total of 1,066 listings came onto the market, showing a fall of 5.9% when compared to November last year. The truncated mean asking price for these listings was down by 1.5% as compared to the recent 3-month average to an asking price of $654,519 (up 13.9% when compared to October 2011). New record high asking prices were seen in 2 regions in New Zealand (Waikato – $675,581, and Central Otago/Lakes – $1,596,071).

 

Apartments

New listings for apartments in November down 9.5% on a year on year basis, with 484 being brought to the market. The truncated mean asking price of new apartment listings fell 1% to $394,282 in November from $398,121 in October, but was still up 6.4% on a year on year basis.

The Auckland apartment market had 304 new listings coming onto the market, down 13.1% when compared to November last year. The truncated mean asking price of new listings in Auckland rose again to $386,818 (November) from $382,303 (October) representing a 2.2% increase on the prior 3 months.

 

For Media Enquiries, please contact: Paul McKenzie, Realestate.co.nz | +64 21 618 537

Notes:

Truncated mean

The monthly asking price for new listings presented in this report utilises the measure of ‘truncated mean’. This measure is judged to be a more accurate measure of the market price than average price as it statistically removes the extremes that exist within any property market that can so easily introduce a skew to traditional average price figures.

The truncated mean used in this report removes the upper 10% and the lower 10% of listings in each data set. An average or mean of the balance of listings is then calculated.

 

Methodology

With the largest database of properties for sale in NZ from licensed real estate agents, realestate.co.nz is uniquely placed to immediately identify any changes in the marketplace. The realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report is compiled from new listings coming onto the market from the more than 1,000 licensed real estate offices across NZ, representing more than 96% of all offices.

With an average monthly level of over 10,000 new listings, the realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report provides the largest monthly sample report on the residential property market, as well as a more timely view of the property market than any other property report. The data is collated and analysed at the close of each month, and the Report is compiled for the 1st day of the following month. This provides a feedback mechanism as to the immediate state of the market, well in advance of sales statistics, which by the very nature of the selling process can reflect activity with a lag of between 2 and 4 months.

 

Seasonally adjustment

The core data for the NZ Property Report is seasonally adjusted to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in NZ. In preparing this seasonally adjusted data Realestate.co.nz is grateful for the assistance of the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) who use an X12 ARIMA methodology to calculate seasonally adjusted data.

 

Background to Realestate.co.nz

Realestate.co.nz is the official website company of the real estate industry of New Zealand, it is an industry owned web business providing online marketing services to the real estate industry. The shareholders in the business comprise the REINZ (50%) and five of the largest real estate companies (50%).

The business operates a portfolio of websites all focused to specialist sectors of the real estate market:

Realestate.co.nz is the heart of the business and is focused to the residential property market. It features the most comprehensive selection of property for sale and rent across NZ. The website attracts a significant monthly audience of over 475,000 unique browsers, with over 115,000 of those visiting from countries outside of NZ.

In addition Realestate.co.nz receives over 25% of all traffic to property listings from mobile devices, including their iPhone and Android applications. To date these applications have been downloaded by over 122,000 users making the app the most popular property app in NZ.

nzFarms is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of farms and agricultural businesses on the market across NZ. At this time it features around 5,000 listings for all types of farms and agricultural land as well as over 11,000 lifestyle properties.

Prime Commercial is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of commercial property for purchase or lease on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 27,000 listings for all types of properties – retail, commercial, industrial and investment properties.

Prime Business is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of businesses for sale on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 4,300 listings for all types of businesses – retail, tourism, wholesale as well as franchise opportunities.

The web business of Realestate.co.nz site is the most comprehensive real estate web operation in NZ, currently hosting over 110,000 listings, covering this portfolio of residential property for sale and rent, commercial property for sale and lease, rural properties and farms, as well as businesses for sale. With a subscriber base of over 1,000 offices, the company represents over 97% of all listings from licensed real estate agents in NZ.

The full NZ Property Report for November 2012 can be downloaded here (1.2MB pdf document). Additionally the raw data is accessible here as an Excel spreadsheet enabling anyone to analyse the raw data and establish any trends or observations.

Usage rights are governed under attribution to the source of the data being Realestate.co.nz. The next NZ Property Report for December 2012 will be published on this website on Wednesday 2nd January 2013 at 11am.

By Paul McKenzie, Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz

2

NZ Property Report – October 2012

The October 2012 NZ Property Report published by Realestate.co.nz provides an insight into the state of the New Zealand property market as measured by the supply side of the property market over the month of October. The key measures of the market analysed in the report are the number of new listings, the asking price expectation for those new listings and the level of inventory of unsold houses on the market at this time. The report is compiled from data captured by the website and represents close to 97% of all property movements in the NZ market as managed by licensed real estate agents.

A full print version of the NZ Property Report – October 2012 is published below and is available for download (1.5MB) and distribution.

Summary of the market – October 2012

The property market continues to show signs of confidence and heightened activity as compared to the past few years. The confidence amongst sellers bringing their properties onto the market has pushed up the (seasonally adjusted) truncated mean asking price to a new high of $445,529 – the highest level since the collection of data began in 2007. This rise in asking price was noticeable right across the country, with Auckland reaching a new record high of $611,864, and Canterbury reaching a new high of $414,070.

November saw a good rise in new listings (up 12% on October 2011), and this rise has lead to some balancing of the property market in both Wellington and a number of provincial regions.

While inventory levels across the country balanced in October, the market remains a firm sellers market across 12 of NZ’s 19 regions. Overall stocks of unsold houses rose slightly to 33 weeks of inventory (long term average = 40 weeks). Both Auckland and Canterbury remain firmly sellers markets, with overall inventory levels continuing to remain well below long-term averages.

The next data for November will be interesting to review as to the final flush of new listings coming onto the market in Spring – November is traditionally one of the biggest listings months of the year. Last year that total was just over 13,000 – that at a time when inventory was considerably higher than today.

 

Asking Price

The seasonally adjusted truncated mean asking price for listings rose 4% (from September) to an all time high of $445,529 in October. This new record asking price level was up from the prior peak of $435,887 reached in May this year.

The trend as seen in the chart opposite continues to show strength in seller expectation and strong demand in the main centers.

 

New Listings

The level of new listings coming onto the market in October continued to increase, with 12,688 listings in the month – up from 11,514 in September (14% increase). October also saw big increases on last year, with an increase of 12% in listings.

On a 12 month moving total basis the number of new listings that have come onto the market in the last year totals 132,291, as compared to 124,503 in the prior 12 month period, this represents a rise of 6.3%.

 

Inventory

The level of unsold houses on the market at the end of October (43,921) remained stable, when compared to September (44,063) as measured on a seasonally adjusted basis. The inventory as measured in terms of equivalent weeks of sales rose last month to 33.1 weeks last month. This rise was witnessed across 17 of the 19 regions. But overall inventory levels still fell well below the long-term average of 39 weeks.

 

Regional Summary – Asking price expectations

The national (seasonally adjusted) truncated mean asking price expectation among sellers rose 3.8% in October to a new peak of $445,529. This exceeds the prior peak of $435,887 reached in May this year.

Following the new record high for the national asking price figure, both Auckland and Canterbury also posted record highs in October. This is the first time that the seasonally adjusted mean asking price has topped the $600,000 mark in Auckland ($611,864), and the $400,000 mark in Canterbury ($414,070).

In total 15 regions reported asking price increases, and 7 regions saw rises greater than 5%. The most significant rises were seen in the Central Otago/Lakes, Canterbury, Gisborne, Manawatu/Wanganui, Southland, and Auckland regions, with Central Otago/Lakes showing the largest increases, up 18% to $621,200 (the highest seen since November 2007). Of the 4 regions witnessing asking price falls on a seasonally adjusted basis there was just 1 reporting a fall greater than 5% with West Coast seeing a fall of 6.5%.

 

Regional Summary – Listings

Overall new listings increased on a national basis, as seen in the adjacent chart however across the regions there were slightly more regions showing increases than falls.

There were 16 regions reporting year-on-year rises, with significant increases (over 20%) seen in 10 regions. The largest increases were in Taranaki (68%), Wairarapa (40%), Hawkes Bay (34%) and Gisborne (31%)

Only 3 regions reported lower new listings than October last year with Northland being the region to report the highest fall off of 17.4% when compared to October 2011.

 

 

Regional Summary – Inventory

The inventory of unsold homes on the market eased in October, rising 9% from September to 33 weeks of stock, and shows the market re-balancing.

This re-balancing is however not occurring in the two major markets of Canterbury and Auckland where the inventory continues to remain low.

Five regions (Taranaki and West Coast) showed increases in inventory of homes on the market taking them above their respective long-term average. In addition four other regions (Central North Island, Southland, and Otago) sit close to their respective long term averages indicating a more balanced market.

Market sentiment continues to favour sellers in the remaining 10 regions, with the greatest strain being felt in the 3 regions which are marked in dark blue, which includes the main metro areas of Auckland, and Canterbury, which remain under pressure from low listings as measured against sales activity.

 

Lifestyle

New lifestyle property listings had another boost across the country in October, rising a further 18% when compared to September. A total of 1,121 listings came onto the market, showing an increase of 12% when compared to October last year. The truncated mean asking price for these listings was up by 7% as compared to the recent 3-month average to a record high asking price of $689,375 (up 13% when compared to October 2011). This record high was reflected across 4 regions in New Zealand (Northland, West Coast, Canterbury, and Central North Island).

 

Apartments

New listings for apartments in October were up 1.5% when compared to September, with 484 being brought to the market (on a year-on-year basis listings were up 9%). The truncated mean asking price of new apartment listings fell slightly to $398,121 in October from $399,489 in September, but was still up 8% on the recent 3-month average.

The Auckland apartment market followed the national trend with 300 new listings coming onto the market, up 7.1% when compared to October last year. The truncated mean asking price of new listings in Auckland rose again to $382,303 (October) from $366,057 (September) representing a 9.8% increase on the prior 3 months.

 

For Media Enquiries, please contact: Paul McKenzie, Realestate.co.nz | +64 21 618 537

Notes:

Truncated mean

The monthly asking price for new listings presented in this report utilises the measure of ‘truncated mean’. This measure is judged to be a more accurate measure of the market price than average price as it statistically removes the extremes that exist within any property market that can so easily introduce a skew to traditional average price figures.

The truncated mean used in this report removes the upper 10% and the lower 10% of listings in each data set. An average or mean of the balance of listings is then calculated.

 

Methodology

With the largest database of properties for sale in NZ from licensed real estate agents, realestate.co.nz is uniquely placed to immediately identify any changes in the marketplace. The realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report is compiled from new listings coming onto the market from the more than 1,000 licensed real estate offices across NZ, representing more than 96% of all offices.

With an average monthly level of over 10,000 new listings, the realestate.co.nz NZ Property Report provides the largest monthly sample report on the residential property market, as well as a more timely view of the property market than any other property report. The data is collated and analysed at the close of each month, and the Report is compiled for the 1st day of the following month. This provides a feedback mechanism as to the immediate state of the market, well in advance of sales statistics, which by the very nature of the selling process can reflect activity with a lag of between 2 and 4 months.

 

Seasonally adjustment

The core data for the NZ Property Report is seasonally adjusted to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in NZ. In preparing this seasonally adjusted data Realestate.co.nz is grateful for the assistance of the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) who use an X12 ARIMA methodology to calculate seasonally adjusted data.

 

Background to Realestate.co.nz

Realestate.co.nz is the official website company of the real estate industry of New Zealand, it is an industry owned web business providing online marketing services to the real estate industry. The shareholders in the business comprise the REINZ (50%) and five of the largest real estate companies (50%).

The business operates a portfolio of websites all focused to specialist sectors of the real estate market:

Realestate.co.nz is the heart of the business and is focused to the residential property market. It features the most comprehensive selection of property for sale and rent across NZ. The website attracts a significant monthly audience of over 450,000 unique browsers, with over 115,000 of those visiting from countries outside of NZ.

In addition Realestate.co.nz receives over 25% of all traffic to property listings from mobile devices, including their iPhone and Android applications. To date these applications have been downloaded by over 117,000 users making the app the most popular property app in NZ.

nzFarms is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of farms and agricultural businesses on the market across NZ. At this time it features around 5,000 listings for all types of farms and agricultural land as well as over 11,000 lifestyle properties.

Prime Commercial is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of commercial property for purchase or lease on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 27,000 listings for all types of properties – retail, commercial, industrial and investment properties.

Prime Business is a specialist website presenting the most comprehensive selection of businesses for sale on the market across NZ. At this time it features over 4,300 listings for all types of businesses – retail, tourism, wholesale as well as franchise opportunities.

The web business of Realestate.co.nz site is the most comprehensive real estate web operation in NZ, currently hosting over 110,000 listings, covering this portfolio of residential property for sale and rent, commercial property for sale and lease, rural properties and farms, as well as businesses for sale. With a subscriber base of over 1,000 offices, the company represents over 97% of all listings from licensed real estate agents in NZ.

The full NZ Property Report for October 2012 can be downloaded here (1.5MB pdf document). Additionally the raw data is accessible here as an Excel spreadsheet enabling anyone to analyse the raw data and establish any trends or observations.

Usage rights are governed under attribution to the source of the data being Realestate.co.nz. The next NZ Property Report for November 2012 will be published on this website on Monday 3rd December 2012 at 9am.

By Paul McKenzie, Marketing Manager, Realestate.co.nz

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Auckland property market continues to heat up

Posted on: July 4th, 2012 | Filed in Buying / Selling a home, Featured, Market News, Regional News

At the half way point in the year the data keeps on reinforcing the fact that the property market activity in Auckland is firmly on the rise.

Barfoot & Thompson – Auckland’s largest real estate company reported its June sales at 994 sales in the month, up 14% on June last year. The first 6 months of this year has seen Barfoot & Thompson sell 5,602 properties, up 18% over the same period last year.

The chart above certainly shows that 3 of the past 4 months have seen sales reach significant new highs. If you exclude the April month (which seems abnormally low) the total for March, May and June represents 3,405 sales up 20% on the same 3 months of last year – some very strong growth for Barfoot & Thompson.

Naturally being the largest real estate company in the Auckland market tends to see their data reflect the overall regional performance and this is certainly the case based on the more comprehensive REINZ data – the recent Property Pulse factsheets for Auckland (Total region, North Shore, Central, Manukau, Waitakere) provide this deeper analysis.

As has been reported in the monthly NZ Property Report the inventory of property for sale in Auckland has been falling for many months and now sits at a 4 year low. This is a function of rising sales, however the rise in new listings has not been keeping pace with sales. Taking Barfoot & Thompson data, again as stated earlier the first half of the year has seen a sales growth of 18% – the rise in listings for the same period showed only a 7% growth. The monthly data of new listings for Barfoot & Thompson is shown below.

This situation of new listings lagging the growth of sales can best be seen when stacking up the two sets of data (sales & listings) on the same chart. The data used in this chart below is the 3 month moving average and I have split the axis to emphasise the significant gap appearing between sales and listings – a situation not seen before over the past 5 years of data.

As Barfoot & Thompson cite in their market report this shortage of properties for sale, with buyers being quick to commit, (is) pushing up prices to an all-time high of $589,251. The chart below tracks this trend over the past few years and using a trend line certainly provides a guide to the scale of this trend.

 

 

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Auckland Property Report – April 2012

Posted on: May 2nd, 2012 | Filed in Featured, NZ Property Report, Regional News

This special regional property report on the Auckland market was published for a presentation given to the Auckland Property Investors Association. The format reflects the monthly national report but provides commentary and charts specifically to the Auckland region.

The April 2012 Auckland Property Report published by Realestate.co.nz provides an insight into the state of the Auckland property market as measured by the supply side of the property market over the month of April. The key measures of the market analysed in the report are the number of new listings, the asking price expectation for those new listings and the level of inventory of unsold houses on the market at this time. The report is compiled from data captured by the website and represents close to 98% of all property movements in the Auckland market as managed by licensed real estate agents.

 

A full print version of the Auckland Property Report – April 2012 is published below and is available for download (1.2MB) and distribution.

 

Summary of the market – April 2012

The Auckland property market continues to drive ahead, even as the remainder of the country sees some re-balancing of the market. The market is firmly in the seller’s camp and this is evident by the pressure of constrained inventory which continues to hold at levels well below long term average and a year ago. In fact the levels are the lowest seen since the start of the property market slow-up in 2007.

Sales of property remain strong with the 2,806 properties sold in March across the region, this is up 18% as compared to the prior year, but was very slightly down from February on a seasonally adjusted basis by 1%. This level of demand has driven the asking price higher as sellers read the market signals and recongise the potential for a stronger selling price than a year ago.

The weakness of listings remains of concern, the 3,159 new properties coming onto the market in April were down 5% on a year ago and 14% down on February on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The next 3 month traditionally represent a quieter time for new listings as sellers feel the summer peak appeal period has passed, this is however not the case when it comes to demand from buyers who remain active through this winter period, the key will be if astute sellers recognize this and capitalize on what appears to be sustained demand to seek the best outcome for their property sale.

 

Asking Price

The seasonally adjusted truncated mean asking price for listings in April rose again to a new record level of $568,820 up 1.7% on the March level and up 2.5% from April last year. Auckland asking prices are second only to the Queenstown region which is nudging the $600,000 asking price mark at $595,766 in April.

 

New Listings

The level of new listings coming onto the market in April fell significantly with a total of 3,159. This represents a fall of 5% as compared to April last year. On a seasonally adjusted basis the April figure was down 14% from March.

On a 12 month moving average basis a total of 42,272 new listings have come onto the market since May 2011 as compared to 41,850 in the prior 12 month period, a slight increase of just 1%. This compares to sales up 22% on the same 12 month comparable basis

 

Inventory

The level of unsold houses on the market at the end of April as measured on a seasonally adjusted basis at 10,941 was down 1% as compared to March. A year ago the inventory totaled 12,001.

As measured in weeks of equivalent sales the April level of 21.7 remained the same as March. The long term average for Auckland is 33 weeks and a year ago the level was 28 weeks.

 

Supplemental data

 

Property Sales

Property sales over the past 5 years in Auckland have gone through some significant shifts as the chart shows. There have been 2 periods with growth, and 2 periods of decline. Actual sales at this time (seasonally adjusted are at the highest level since the market suffered the significant decline between 2007 and 2008.  This current period of growth in sales started in October 2010 and represents a 76% increase from that time.

 

Sales Price

The Stratified mean sales price  (REINZ) for property in Auckland has gone through a sustained recovery over the past year and is now at a new high of $516,700. This represents a 1.3% increase from the prior high of July 2007. The chart very clearly reflects the impact of the price decline through the period of 2007 to 2009 resulting in a 14.6% adjustment in Auckland property prices.

 

 

 

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