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Archive for the ‘Commercial’ Category

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Growing interest in NZ commercial property from international buyers

Posted on: April 8th, 2009 | Filed in Commercial, International

auckland-cbd-commercial-propertyThe recent article in the NZ Herald highlighted a renewed interest in NZ commercial property from counter cyclical buyers from the South East Asia region.

Bayleys’ senior broker James Chan is quoted as saying that “the company’s marketing activity this year is in Southeast Asia and particularly Singapore, Hong Kong and mainland China because this is where most international interest in New Zealand property is coming from“.

This focus naturally lead to an analysis of the visitor statistics on realestate.co.nz for commercial listings as to whether there had been an appreciable increase of visitors from South East Asia in particular. Comparing the first 3 months of 2009 with the same period last year visitor numbers are up significantly at the same time inventory of commercial property is at a peak. It turns out that close on in 4  of all visitors to commercial listings on the website in the past quarter were from overseas up from 1 in 5 a year ago, a total of 71,000 visitors checked out such listings in the past 3 months, up 19%.

The chart below shows the major growth areas of the world reviewing NZ commercial property. In overall terms international visitor numbers are up by 48% clearly driven by major interest from across the Asian region.

commercial-property-listings-international-traffic-apr-09

Whilst absolute visitor numbers for commercial property listings are small as compared to residential (total monthly visitor sessions for commercial in a month for example may amount to around 25,000 as compared to residential which can be over 600,000) the fact is though that commercial listings tend to only attract genuine interested parties as opposed to residential which has a broader audience comprising many visitors for whom browsing real estate property for sale is very aspirational and not genuinely grounded in the likelihood of ever buying any of the viewed properties.

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Inventory of commercial listings reaches new peak as confidence plunges

Posted on: March 25th, 2009 | Filed in Commercial, International

The recently released Colliers Property Confidence report brings into stark focus the knock-on effects of the global recession. Sentiment among respondents shows a significantly pessimistic outlook especially amongst Aucklanders and especially so in the retail premises sector.

This downturn in sentiment and lack of activity generally in the market is directly resulting in an upsurge in listings on the website. In March the total of commercial property for lease and purchase grew to yet another new high of over 22,000. Just 12 months ago the site hosted just 12,800 listings. The graph below shows in dramatic style the steady rise of inventory of commercial property since early 2007.

Commercial property listing realestate.co.nz

The graph also shows the level of activity of searching on the site by visitors both here in NZ and overseas for commercial property. This level of activity amounting to 8,000 to 9,000 visitors per month has been pretty consistent over the past 12 months. What is interesting is the make up of those visitors and especially the component of international visitors viewing commercial listings.

In first 3 months of 2009 traffic from overseas is up 18%. A year ago 1 in 5 of all visitors viewing commercial property was from outside NZ, 12 months later this has grown to 1 in 4. Large increases have been seen from Australian visitors (+ 76%), Canada (+67%) and Japan (+107%) – meanwhile traffic from the US is up only 8%, meanwhile South Africa is down 31% and Hong Kong shows a 22% decline.

Returning to the level of inventory it is interesting to see the geographical distribution of listings. The two pie charts below display the make up by region of the country of the 14,200 leasehold properties and the 8,000 properties for sale.

Commercial real estate listings NZ by region March 2009

What is clearly most striking is the fact that over 80% of all leasehold property is located in the main 3 centers with 58% in Auckland alone. By comparison with commercial property for sale the 3 main centers account for only half of all listings.