The Unconditional Blog

The impartial voice of the industry

 
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The heat is off Auckland as Kiwis take a breath and park the city house hunt

Posted on: December 1st, 2016 | Filed in Featured, NZ Property Report

Download the New Zealand Property Report in full here.

The New Zealand housing market has settled into a typical pre-Christmas pattern, as Kiwis turn their focus to the upcoming holiday period.

Real-time market statistics from realestate.co.nz for the past three months (ending 30 November) show a comparative cooling in demand across the main centres – most noticeably Auckland.

Demand is measured by the average number of views per listing for September, October and November 2016 which are then compared to the same period in 2015.

“Auckland was the only region across the country where demand is down on the same period last year,” says realestate.co.nz CEO Brendon Skipper. Demand in the region dropped 8.1 per cent, compared to the same time last year.

The average asking price in Auckland went up just 0.4 per cent in November, compared to the previous month. Despite this slower rate of growth, asking prices in the region hit another record high of $947,141.

“A slowing rate of growth and a decrease in demand means properties in Auckland are sitting on the market for longer. In turn, this means more options for buyers,” he says.

Asking Price Map Nov 2016

Holiday hot spots beckon

While demand is up in all other regions, there appears to be a current focus on regions renowned for lifestyle options. The Wairarapa, Marlborough and the Coromandel regions feature strongly. In the smaller regions, Gisborne and the West Coast are also attracting interest.

“As we prepare to head into the holiday period, it appears an increasing number of Kiwis are considering investing in a bach or holiday home,” says Brendon.

But Kiwis who were looking to buy a holiday pad in the Coromandel in November may have struggled to find one, as we recorded a drop in new listings in this region,” he says.

The region registered a significant drop in new listings in November, down 39 per cent compared to the same time last year.

Coromandel, Marlborough and Nelson all recorded sizeable spikes in the average asking price in November, when compared to the previous month (up 8.4 per cent, 8.2 per cent and 17.4 per cent respectively).

New Listings Map November 2016

Supply and demand hot in the regions

The Manawatu/Wanganui region continues to be in hot demand. In November, the region recorded New Zealand’s highest percentage increase of new property listings compared to the same month last year.

The 17.1 per cent jump in new listings was not at the expense of price. The region saw the average asking price hit $291,292.

“Remarkably, properties are turning over more quickly in this region compared to Auckland,” says Brendon.

If there were no new properties listed in the Manawatu/Wanganui region, theoretically there would be no properties left for sale within 13 weeks. In Auckland, it would take 14 weeks to clear all current property listings.

“The average asking price in Auckland is growing at a more modest pace, while properties are taking longer to turn over. If this trend continues, there will be more choices available for Auckland buyers in the foreseeable future.”

Inventory Map November 2016

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Americans’ interest in NZ property has catapulted in last two days

Posted on: November 9th, 2016 | Filed in Market News

“Americans may be weighing up their options as the US election comes to a conclusion, and there are clear indications they are increasingly looking at New Zealand as a viable option,” says realestate.co.nz CEO Brendon Skipper.

“Interest from US citizens in New Zealand homes for sale has catapulted in the last two days,” says Brendon. 

Real time statistics from realestate.co.nz (New Zealand’s biggest real estate listing website) show that traffic for 7 – 8 November 2016 from US citizens to the site was up 141 per cent compared to the same two days a year ago.

“The spike follows a month of increased activity in the lead up to the election,” says Brendon Skipper.

In the month leading into the election (Oct 9, 2016 – Nov 8, 2016), American based users are up 51.36 per cent compared to the same time last year

“On average, they are spending almost seven minutes on site, indicating they are having more than a casual glance.

Search terms suggests that they are looking at their options across the country, but perhaps with a skew towards Auckland.

Search terms include “homes for sale in New Zealand”, “houses for sale New Zealand” and “Auckland real estate.”

“It’s also a younger demographic which is looking to New Zealand, with almost half (44.2 per cent) in the 25 – 44 age bracket,” says Brendon Skipper.

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Manawatu-Wanganui hits the property sweet spot

Posted on: November 1st, 2016 | Filed in NZ Property Report

While demand in the Auckland property market has slowed

Download the New Zealand property report in full.

The Manawatu-Wanganui region has hit the property sweet spot not only with locals, but with Aucklanders and Wellingtonians who are increasingly searching for property on realestate.co.nz. The search is most popular among those in the 25 – 44 year old age group.

Real time statistics from realestate.co.nz for the month ending October, show that demand (as measured by taking the number of listing views of residential properties on the site and comparing it with the average number of views over the previous 12 months*) is up 50.4 per cent in Manawatu-Wanganui. Over the same period, demand for property in Auckland has fallen by 9.7 per cent.

Demand map October 2016

“Kiwis across the country aspire to own their own home and while most of the people searching in  Manawatu-Wanganui are from the local area, 33.4 per cent more Aucklanders are also looking in the region (when compared with the same time last year) for the perfect match for their budget,” says realestate.co.nz CEO Brendon Skipper.

Wellingtonians are also keen on the Manawatu-Wanganui region, with a 53 per cent increase in site users viewing properties in this region when compared with the same month last year (October 2015).

Most of the attention in the region is on Palmerston North. The city has a long-term reputation as being one of the most affordable centres in New Zealand.

Asking price map October 2016

The average asking price for a home in Manawatu-Wanganui is $288,267, compared with Auckland which in the same month rose to another all-time high of $943,258.

Of the 19 regions across the country, there are only two regions (West Coast and Southland) where the average asking price is lower than Manawatu-Wanganui.

“It makes sense that Aucklanders would be looking at other regions and not only exploring investment options, but also weighing up the lifestyle benefits of a move outside of the big city,” says Brendon.

In addition to popular West Coast beaches, Manawatu-Wanganui is well located for visiting other regions. Wellington, Wairarapa, Wanganui, Taupo, Hawke’s Bay and the Ohakune ski fields are all within a three-hour drive.

In the October realestate.co.nz rental yield statistics, Manawatu-Wanganui is ranked the third best place to invest in a rental property. Investors would theoretically receive 5.3 per cent yield over a 12-month period – based on realestate.co.nz’s calculation of average asking price vs weekly rental price, excluding all external costs. Another solid reason to look at investing in Manawatu-Wanganui.

Auckland, the shine has dulled

Auckland was the only region across the country where the total number of residential dwellings for sale (inventory) was up, compared to October 2015. Total stock fell in all other regions across New Zealand. While Auckland was up slightly (1.4 per cent), nationally the total housing stock levels fell dramatically (by 24 per cent) when compared to the same month last year.

“Auckland asking prices continue to rise and as such, homes are spending longer on the market. Vendors continue to be focused on selling at a premium while buyers are being more considered and taking time to assess all of their options. With more stock on the market buyers aren’t feeling the same pressure they were 12 months ago,” says Brendon.

If no new listings were to come onto market in Auckland, all the existing properties would be sold in 12.5 weeks, compared to 9.3 weeks in May this year.

Asking price map October 2016

It’s not just global travellers who think Taranaki is a hot spot

“Big kudos to Taranaki for being named by the renowned ‘Lonely Planet Best in Travel Awards 2017’ as the second-best region in the world people should visit next year,” says Brendon Skipper.

“But it’s not just global travellers who have turned their attention to Taranaki,” he says.

New demand statistics generated by realestate.co.nz show that Aucklanders outnumber locals in terms of searching the region’s property offerings.

“It’s a hot destination and the market reflects its growing status,” says Brendon.

Taranaki property prices are now at an all-time high at $384,401, which is up 5.2 per cent on the previous month (September 2016).

There’s also a shortage of listings, down 28.1 per cent compared to October 2015.

“It’s a classic supply and demand situation,” says Brendon.

Inventory map October 2016

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2016 property market “The Year of Unpredictability”

Posted on: October 1st, 2016 | Filed in NZ Property Report, Uncategorized

Spring property market is not blooming

Download the full report here.

The traditional lift in housing market activity during September failed to eventuate, highlighting the unpredictable nature of the property market in 2016, says realestate.co.nz spokesperson Vanessa Taylor.

Real-time market statistics from realestate.co.nz show new property listings across the country down by 12.2 per cent on the same time the previous year, and the total housing stock down 23 per cent.

“Typically we can see trends around what happens during the different phases of a year, such as a slow-down in the winter months and a resurgence in spring, but 2016 is The Year of Unpredictability,” says Vanessa.

“Traditional seasonal behaviour is diminishing as sellers appear to be more focused on selling at a premium particularly in markets like Auckland, while buyers are considering all their options and properties are now taking a longer time to turn over.”

New Listings September 2016

Main centres tell it all

New asking price high for Auckland but fewer listings and longer to sell

Auckland was the only region in the whole of the country where total housing stock levels increased (by 4 per cent).  However new property listings in September were 17.8 per cent lower than the same month in 2015.

While Auckland asking prices hit another all-time high at $933,435 (a 2.8 per cent increase on the previous month), properties are spending longer on the market.

“With fewer new listings coming onto the market, it appears that sellers are looking to command higher prices,” says Vanessa.

“On the other hand, if there were no new listings coming onto the Auckland market, all existing properties would now take 12 weeks to sell, which indicates a slow-down in activity,” she says.

By comparison, in the same period last year (September 2015), if there were no new listings coming onto the Auckland market, all existing properties in Auckland would have taken 9.6 weeks to sell.

Vanessa says it could be that the buyer sentiment has shifted from a “must buy now mentality at all cost” to a more considered view of options, particularly with prices continuing to rise and a limited choice of properties for sale.

Asking Prices September 2016

Significant fall in new housing stock in Waikato, asking prices up

Waikato’s total housing stock level plunged 31.9 per cent compared to the same month last year which is a massive drop compared with neighbouring Auckland which was the only region where total housing stock levels rose.

“Aucklanders have been active in the Waikato region for quite some time and have perhaps absorbed the first round of property offered by Waikato sellers who capitalised on the demand.”

New property listings coming onto the market in September in the Waikato fell by 20.1 per cent compared to the same time last year and asking prices lifted by 3.0 per cent on the previous month, which is slightly higher than Auckland.

If no new listings came onto the market, all existing properties would be sold in 10 weeks in the Waikato region.

Wellington new listings fall, following a strong August

It’s a similar picture in the Wellington region where new property listings fell 8.1 per cent in September compared to the same time last year.

“However Wellington is an example of the unpredictable nature of the industry at this time, given that in August 2016 new listings increased by 36.8 per cent compared to August 2015,” says Vanessa Taylor.

Total housing stock in September 2016 was 37.7 per cent lower than the same month the previous year. Property asking prices in Wellington rose 1.4 per cent compared with the prior month.

Property asking prices and new listings fall in Canterbury and Otago

While asking prices in the North Island main centres continued to rise, in Canterbury and Otago they fell by 2.5 per cent and 1.7 per cent respectively compared to the prior month.

New listings were also down compared with the previous year, with Canterbury falling by 4.7 per cent and Otago by 12.6 per cent compared to September 2015.

Inventory Map September 2016

 

About realestate.co.nz

realestate.co.nz is dedicated to property and is the of cial website of the New Zealand real estate industry. As a property listing site, the information it draws on for its property report is in real time.

realestate.co.nz has the country’s most comprehensive selection of real estate listings online. The site presents more than 97 per cent of all residential, commercial and rural properties currently marketed by real estate professionals. Focussed exclusively on people in need of property, realestate.co.nz offers superior functionality, including accurate search, school zone data and a mobile app.

Glossary of terms

realestate.co.nz provides valuable property market data not available from other sources.

  • Average asking price gives an indication of current market sentiment. Statistically, asking prices tend to correlate closely with the sales prices recorded in future months when those properties are sold. As it looks at different data, average asking prices may differ from recorded sales data released at the same time.
  • Inventory is a measure of how long it would take, theoretically, to sell the current stock at current average rates of sale if no new properties were to be listed for sale. It provides a measure of the rate of turnover in the market.
  • New listings are a record of all the new listings on realestate.co.nz for the relevant calendar month. As we re ect 97 per cent of all properties listed through registered estate agents in New Zealand, this gives a representative view of the market.
  • Seasonal adjustment is a method we use to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in New Zealand. This is done using methodology from the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research.
  • Truncated mean is the method we use to provide statistically relevant asking prices. The top and bottom 10 per cent of listings in each area are removed before the average is calculated, to prevent exceptional listings from providing false impressions.
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realestate.co.nz introduces improved reporting on views to your listing

Posted on: September 21st, 2016 | Filed in Company News, Featured

As part of our commitment to being New Zealand’s number one property site, realestate.co.nz will now report on all views that hit a listing. We’ll do this by showing you three different numbers – Listing Views, Search Views and Total Reach. Here is what they are telling you:

1)         Listing Views: Listing Views represent the number of times a listing has been viewed in full. When a user encounters a property on realestate.co.nz and clicks through to the listing to find out more, that’s one listing view. Of note: This number is updated in real time.

Listing Views are not: We do not count gallery scrolls as separate views, so if an individual user looks at 27 pictures within a listing, this still counts as one Listing View, not 27 Listing Views. 

2)        Search Views: Search Views represent the number of times a property has appeared on a user’s screen. This includes when a property appears in a search, when a property appears on the homepage, when a property appears in a showcase carousel or when a property appears in the ‘Similar Properties Nearby’ section – example screenshots below. Of note: This number is updated overnight once every 24 hours.

Search Views are not: realestate.co.nz’s reports do not count a Search View until a particular property appears on a user’s screen. For example, if a property appears at the bottom of page one during a search, this property will not be counted until the user scrolls down and that listing appears on their screen for at least a second.

Listing Views 1
Listing Views 2

3)        Total Reach: The Total Reach of a listing is found by combining the number of Listing Views and Search Views. In other words, the total number of times a listing has been viewed.

This will give real estate agents more transparency, allowing you to more accurately understand the Total Reach of a listing on realestate.co.nz and validate why you need to be on New Zealand’s number one property site.

Examples of how this will look are below.

If you need more information, contact your real estate agent. If you are an agent, contact the realestate.co.nz customer support team on 0800 732 536 or info@realestate.co.nz.

Agent Report 3Agent Report 2

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Regional property market benefits from classic supply and demand picture

Posted on: September 1st, 2016 | Filed in NZ Property Report

Coromandel one of six regions nationally to hit an all-time high asking price in August

The full report can be downloaded here..

Low levels of housing stock in some regions of New Zealand are continuing to benefit sellers, according to figures released today by realestate.co.nz.

Real–time market statistics from the site, which has the largest number of residential for sale property listings in the country, show that with the exception of Auckland, there has been a gradual decline in housing stock over and above the typical midwinter seasonal lull.

“This has resulted in a lift in asking prices, most notably in the Coromandel, where the region had only 141 new listings and yet hit $636,297 for the average asking price. This is up 7.2 per cent from the previous month and is an all-time high,” says realestate.co.nz CEO Brendon Skipper.REA0158 PR Release September 2016 3

Coromandel is just one of six regions nationally that have hit an all-time high in August. The other five regions are Canterbury, Nelson & Bays, Bay of Plenty, Waikato and Auckland.

With inventory levels continuing to fall, the property market remains a sellers’ market.REA0158 PR Release September 2016 33

“Nationally, it means that if no new listings were to come to market, all the existing properties in New Zealand would be sold in 14 weeks.

“Auckland is the only region in the whole of New Zealand where housing stock is up compared to the same time last year. However, demand appears to be easing compared to the rest of the country,” says Brendon.

The number of new listings in Auckland dropped by 12.4 per cent compared to the previous year, however the total Auckland housing stock levels are up by four per cent for the same period.REA0158 PR Release September 2016 32

“This tells us that homes are taking slightly longer to sell, which could be as a result of LVR restrictions,” says Brendon.

Taking a snapshot in a moment of time on one day in late August, there were 21,462 houses for sale across New Zealand, which is down 24.8 per cent from the previous year.

“This number can be misleading as it doesn’t take into account the number of properties which have come onto the market during that month and subsequent sales, but it does tell us it is still very much a sellers’ market.

“The market data we draw from realestate.co.nz shows that the average Auckland asking price for all residential property types was $907,986 in August, which is yet another record, but still has some way to go before hitting the $1 million mark,” comments Brendon.

 

About realestate.co.nz

Realestate.co.nz is the official website of the New Zealand real estate industry. As a property listing site, the information it draws on for its property report is in real time.

At realestate.co.nz we make the complex simple.

We’re New Zealand’s number one property site with the most properties for sale from every real estate brand in the county. We are totally dedicated to property, have no private sales and have search functionality that’s second to none to get you to your perfect property faster.

Glossary of terms

Realestate.co.nz provides valuable property market data not available from other sources.

  • Average asking price gives an indication of current market sentiment. Statistically, asking prices tend to correlate closely with the sales prices recorded in future months when those properties are sold. As it looks at different data, average asking prices may differ from recorded sales data released at the same time.
  • Inventory is a measure of how long it would take, theoretically, to sell the current stock at current average rates of sale if no new properties were to be listed for sale. It provides a measure of the rate of turnover in the market.
  • New listings are a record of all the new listings on realestate.co.nz for the relevant calendar month. As we reflect 97 per cent of all properties listed through registered estate agents in New Zealand, this gives a representative view of the market.
  • Seasonal adjustment is a method we use to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in New Zealand. This is done using methodology from the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research.

Truncated mean is the method we use to provide statistically relevant asking prices. The top and bottom 10 per cent of listings in each area are removed before the average is calculated, to prevent exceptional listings from providing false impressions.

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National house asking prices fall for the first time since April 2016

Posted on: August 2nd, 2016 | Filed in Featured, NZ Property Report

Download the full report here

The national average asking house price fell in July – the first decline in three months – while demand continued to rise.

Real-time market statistics released today by realestate.co.nz show that in July, the seasonally adjusted asking price for homes across the country fell by $7,556 (1.3 per cent) when compared to June 2016. The average national asking price in July was $569,971.

On the demand side, there was a 10.39 per cent decrease in viewing sessions for Auckland properties on realestate.co.nz when compared with the same time last year and users also dropped by 4.90 per cent. This continuing trend was first referenced in last month’s property report and reinforces the possibility that the shine may have gone off the Auckland market.

Nationally, demand increased by 14.48 percent when compared with July 2015. Other regions which saw an increase in viewing sessions were Canterbury and Central Lakes/Otago both at 11.40 per cent, Marlborough with 19.03 per cent and Wellington with a very large 22.52 per cent increase.

 

Asking prices vary across the regions

‘Significant variations in asking prices across the country paint an interesting picture’, says Vanessa.

Auckland still continues its upward trajectory, with the July average asking price at a record high of $898,562 (up 1.1% from the previous month).

“There have been calls across the nation for measures to rein in house prices, but it may be that the market is actually self-correcting, albeit slightly, with buyers unwilling or unable to meet ever-increasing price rises.

“Whether the fall is the start of a trend is still to be determined,” she says.

 

National average asking price:

April May June July
$561,283 $570,971 $577,527 $569,971

 

“In addition to Auckland, the main centres where asking prices continued to increase were Waikato, Wellington and Otago, but in Canterbury it’s a different picture where asking prices fell for the third month in a row in July,” Taylor says.

The July asking price in Canterbury stood at $462,936, almost $10,000 lower than in May this year ($472,274) but demand is still high. An 8.33 per cent increase in sessions from June and 11.40 per cent increase on July 2015.

There have also been some highs and lows in the regions, with Central Lakes/Otago asking prices falling 20.9 per cent compared with the previous month. While this could be a one-off (dropping to $680,672) it’s still significantly lower than the same time last year ($756,063 in July 2015), comments Vanessa.

At the two ends of the country, asking prices have also fallen.  In July the Northland average asking price stood at $480,006, a 4.7 per cent fall from June (down from $503,527).

Southland also recorded a 4.7 per cent fall, with the average asking price in July standing at $250,041, down from $262,285 in June.

By contrast, Nelson and Marlborough are on the up, with Marlborough the star performer. Average asking prices in the lifestyle region of Marlborough hit the half-million-dollar mark for the first time ever ($503,997). The figures show that Marlborough had a large increase in demand in July, a month on month increase of 10.94 per cent with a large 19.03% increase on July 2015.

 

Property listings static

The variances across the country are also reflected in the number of new properties coming onto the market, which have remained relatively static nationally compared to the same time last year (down 0.6 per cent from July 2015). For example, regionally we see new listings down by 18.9 per cent in Wairapapa on the same time last year, while at the other extreme Central North Island was up by 35.5 per cent.

Rental yield mirror bigger picture

On 27 June, the Reserve Bank released official statistics for the first time showing that in May 2016 some 40 per cent of all mortgage lending was on interest-only payment terms.  This percentage has been “fairly stable” since the data was first available to the Reserve Bank in July 2015.

“It reinforces what we said in last month’s property report where we stated that many investors appear to be looking for capital gain, rather than focused on rental yield,” says Vanessa Taylor.

For example, in Auckland where asking prices continue to rise, investors theoretically would receive 3.28 per cent yield over a 12-month period – based on our calculation of average asking price vs weekly rental price, excluding all external costs.

Waikato, Auckland and Wellington respectively take up the bottom three spots below the national average, while regional areas dominate the higher returns. West Coast (8.44 per cent), Wairarapa (6.01 percent) and Southland (5.93 per cent) fill the top three spots across the nation.

Areas to invest JULY 2016

ENDS

About realestate.co.nz

Realestate.co.nz is dedicated to property and is the official website of the New Zealand real estate industry. As a property listing site, the information it draws on for its property report is in real time.

Realestate.co.nz has the country’s most comprehensive selection of real estate listings online. The site presents more than 97 per cent of all residential, commercial and rural properties currently marketed by real estate professionals. Focussed exclusively on people in need of property, realestate.co.nz offers superior functionality, including accurate search, school zone data and a mobile app.

 

Glossary of terms

Realestate.co.nz provides valuable property market data not available from other sources.

  • Average asking price gives an indication of current market sentiment. Statistically, asking prices tend to correlate closely with the sales prices recorded in future months when those properties are sold. As it looks at different data, average asking prices may differ from recorded sales data released at the same time.
  • Inventory is a measure of how long it would take, theoretically, to sell the current stock at current average rates of sale if no new properties were to be listed for sale. It provides a measure of the rate of turnover in the market.
  • New listings are a record of all the new listings on realestate.co.nz for the relevant calendar month. As we reflect 97 per cent of all properties listed through registered estate agents in New Zealand, this gives a representative view of the market.
  • Seasonal adjustment is a method we use to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in New Zealand. This is done using methodology from the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research.
  • Truncated mean is the method we use to provide statistically relevant asking prices. The top and bottom 10 per cent of listings in each area are removed before the average is calculated, to prevent exceptional listings from providing false impressions. Read more here.
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Has the shine gone off the Auckland property market?

Posted on: July 11th, 2016 | Filed in Featured, NZ Property Report

– Far North the new hot spot for buyers, Otago the new #1 for rental returns –

 Interest in the Auckland property market has dropped on the back of ever increasing house prices and falling returns for investors.

Auckland average asking prices rose again to another all-time high in June to $888,493, but searches on realestate.co.nz for properties in the city has fallen, says CEO Brendon Skipper.

“It could be a turning point for Auckland, with prices now at an all-time high they’re almost out of reach for the average income earner, with first home buyers the hardest hit,” he says.

During June, the number of users searching Auckland houses ‘for sale’ on realestate.co.nz fell by 19.33 per cent compared to the same time last year. The site also measures engagement and in June it fell by more than a third across the Auckland region when compared to June 2015.

“Nationally, the volume of traffic to our site is comparable across the country for this time of year, but it appears buyers are moving away from looking in the Auckland area in favour of other regions,” comments Brendon.

 Property asking price for June 2016

Northland, Hamilton, Tauranga and Queenstown flavours of the month

Searches for properties in Northland, Hamilton, Tauranga and Queenstown were up significantly in June compared to the same period last year.

“It appears Aucklanders still want to stay in relatively close proximity to our biggest city, but in terms of affordability they are forced to move even further afield, or they are making lifestyle changes,” he observes.

Hot spots in Northland are Waipu, Whangarei Heads, Paihia and Tutukaka which all have a significant increase in users looking in those areas.

“Whangarei Heads is the suburb to watch, with online engagement up by 42 per cent on same time last year,” notes Brendon.

In the Far North, Kerikeri Surrounds, Paihia and the Karikari Peninsula were the most searched.

Further south, Hamilton and Tauranga continues to attract high levels of online engagement and Queenstown continues to be a perennial favourite,” says Brendon.

NZ inventory of listings for June 2016 

Theoretical yield for new Auckland property investors takes a dive

 Auckland property investors are taking a hit on their theoretical yield in the rental market.

“Investors buying a house in June at the average price of $888,493 theoretically would receive 3.18 per cent yield on the average rent in Auckland – based on our calculation of average asking price vs weekly rental price, excluding all external costs,’ explains Brendon.

“This puts them at the bottom of the ladder across all 19 regions.” See chart below.

“It suggests that Auckland investors are relying on future capital gains rather than rental returns or having to look at other property types when considering their investments”

Nationally, the average theoretical yield on a property is 3.96 per cent (based on the average price and rented out at the average asking rental price).

By comparison, the star performer in terms of theoretical yield on investment property is Otago, showing an average yield of 7.32 per cent.

Areas To Invest In A Rental Based On June 2016

National picture shows that sellers are back in the market

Across the nation, sellers are coming back in the market with 15 out of the 19 regions showing an increase in new listings compared to the same time last year.

“This is significant, as June is traditionally a quiet time of the year, on a par with December and January” explains Brendon.

“The message seems to be getting through that with the shortage of listings and the speed in which properties are selling. It’s a sellers’ market.

“While there is still a shortage of listings this is a positive sign for getting more equilibrium in the marketplace,” he says.

New property listings for June 2016

 

About Realestate.co.nz

Realestate.co.nz is dedicated to property and is the official website of the New Zealand real estate industry. As a property listing site the information it draws on for its property report is in real time.

Realestate.co.nz has the country’s most comprehensive selection of real estate listings online. The site presents more than 97% of all residential, commercial and rural properties currently marketed by real estate professionals. Focussed exclusively on people in need of property, Realestate.co.nz offers superior functionality, including accurate search, school zone data and a mobile app.

 

Glossary of terms

Realestate.co.nz provides valuable property market data not available from other sources.

  • Average asking price gives an indication of current market sentiment. Statistically, asking prices tend to correlate closely with the sales prices recorded in future months when those properties are sold. As it looks at different data, average asking prices may differ from recorded sales data released at the same time.
  • Inventory is a measure of how long it would take, theoretically, to sell the current stock at current average rates of sale if no new properties were to be listed for sale. It provides a measure of the rate of turnover in the market.
  • New listings are a record of all the new listings on Realestate.co.nz for the relevant calendar month. As we reflect 97% of all properties listed through registered estate agents in New Zealand, this gives a representative view of the market.
  • Seasonal adjustment is a method we use to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in New Zealand. This is done using methodology from the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research.
  • Truncated mean is the method we use to provide statistically relevant asking prices. The top and bottom 10% of listings in each area are removed before the average is calculated, to prevent exceptional listings from providing false impressions. Read more here.
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Scarcity of houses for sale nationally creates sellers’ market

Posted on: June 1st, 2016 | Filed in Featured, NZ Property Report

Realestate.co.nz statistics show demand and prices up, supply down

Download the full report here.

The average asking price for a New Zealand house hit an all-time high with stock at an all-time low for May 2016, in a market which is heavily favouring sellers.

Real-time market statistics released today by Realestate.co.nz show the May national average asking price reached $570,971, up 7.2 per cent from the same time the previous year.

On the supply side in May, the number of new properties that came onto the market nationally dropped 7.1 per cent from the previous month and the long term average has also fallen.

“In this environment, if no new listings were to come onto the market nationally and all the existing properties sold, theoretically there would be no properties for sale in New Zealand within 12 weeks,” says Realestate.co.nz spokesperson Vanessa Taylor.

“It’s a classic supply and demand situation and right now it’s definitely a sellers’ market,” she says.

Heightened real estate activity has been evident across both the North and South Islands.

The Central Otago/Lakes region and Nelson in the South Island are notable stand-outs, with Wellington, Waikato and Auckland in the North Island continuing to feature strongly.

Property Asking Price for May 2016

 SOUTH ISLAND REGIONS ON THE UP

In May, the Central Otago/Lakes topped New Zealand in terms of percentage average asking price at 17.2 per cent, the region also recorded the largest drop in new property listings down 32.9 per cent, both compared with the same time last year.

The average asking price for Central Otago/Lakes region for May hit $819,778.

Traffic data reveals a sharp increase in users residing in the neighbouring Otago region viewing property in Central Otago/Lakes, with engagement up by 75.98 per cent on the same time last year.

At the other end of the South Island, it’s a similar story for Nelson, which recorded a record high asking price of $510,709 and a significant drop in new property listings (down 30.9 per cent on the same time the previous year).

New Property Listings for May 2016

NORTH ISLAND DOMINATED BY MAJOR CITIES

 In April, Realestate.co.nz reported an all-time low in the number of properties for sale in Wellington.

In May, inventory levels dropped even further in the capital city. Theoretically, if no new listings were to be posted to the site and the existing properties sold, there would be no properties for sale in just 5.1 weeks (compared with 5.6 weeks in April 2016).

“Waikato also has an interesting profile,” says Vanessa Taylor.

“Asking prices are up a healthy 6.1 per cent on the previous month, coming closely behind Nelson and Central Otago/Lakes in terms of percentage increases across the country,” she says.

“At the same time new listings remain relatively static in the Waikato region.

“We could be tempted to make an assumption that Aucklanders are looking further south to the Waikato. However data shows us that we have seen a strong (75.35 per cent) increase in users from the Bay of Plenty looking at the region. In saying that, the strongest interest is actually coming from users who already reside within the Waikato region,” she says.

“Drilling further down into the data, the hot spots in the Waikato region that are most searched are Cambridge, Te Awamutu and Morrinsville. Surprisingly, data suggests that Melville could be an up and comer with a 217.59% per cent increase in online engagement.”

The average asking price in the Waikato is $467,717 compared to Auckland where it stands at $879,730.

Auckland is also suffering a fall in inventory levels, with listings down 9.2 per cent on the same time last year (May 2015).

“A fall of close to 10 per cent in listings in one year in a city the size of Auckland is very significant,” says Vanessa Taylor.

“At the same time Auckland asking prices have risen in the past month by 2.1 per cent (compared with April 2016) albeit off a high value base,” she says.

Auckland asking house prices have risen 10.9 per cent compared to the same time last year (May 2015).

 

Refer infographics –

  • New Property Listings for May 2016, compared to May 2015 (all regions)
  • Property asking price for May 2016, compared to prior month (all regions)
  • NZ Inventory of listings for May 2016 / long term average (all regions)

 NZ Inventory of Listings for May 2016

 

About Realestate.co.nz

Realestate.co.nz is dedicated to property and is the official website of the New Zealand real estate industry. As a property listing site the information it draws on for its property report is in real time.

Realestate.co.nz has the country’s most comprehensive selection of real estate listings online. The site presents more than 97% of all residential, commercial and rural properties currently marketed by real estate professionals. Focussed exclusively on people in need of property, Realestate.co.nz offers superior functionality, including accurate search, school zone data and a mobile app.

 

Glossary of terms

Realestate.co.nz provides valuable property market data not available from other sources.

  • Average asking price gives an indication of current market sentiment. Statistically, asking prices tend to correlate closely with the sales prices recorded in future months when those properties are sold. As it looks at different data, average asking prices may differ from recorded sales data released at the same time.
  • Inventory is a measure of how long it would take, theoretically, to sell the current stock at current average rates of sale if no new properties were to be listed for sale. It provides a measure of the rate of turnover in the market.
  • New listings are a record of all the new listings on Realestate.co.nz for the relevant calendar month. As we reflect 97% of all properties listed through registered estate agents in New Zealand, this gives a representative view of the market.
  • Seasonal adjustment is a method we use to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in New Zealand. This is done using methodology from the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research.
  • Truncated mean is the method we use to provide statistically relevant asking prices. The top and bottom 10% of listings in each area are removed before the average is calculated, to prevent exceptional listings from providing false impressions. Read more here.

 

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Wellington steals the limelight from Auckland property market

Posted on: May 4th, 2016 | Filed in Featured, NZ Property Report

Wellington inventory levels at record low, upward pressure on prices

 AUCKLAND, 3 May 2016 – Statistics released today by Realestate.co.nz for April 2016 show that strong demand means available inventory weeks of property for sale in Wellington is down a record 61% on the same time last year (April 2015).

A full copy of the report can be downloaded here.

“That’s an all-time low for any region and also the lowest level ever recorded for Wellington,” says Brendon Skipper, CEO of Realestate.co.nz.

Inventory of Listings, April 2016

“It means that theoretically if no new listings were to come onto the market, all available property for sale in Wellington would sell out in only 5.6 weeks,” he says.

Inventory measures the amount of property on the market at any one time. In the first quarter of 2016 it has dropped significantly in Wellington.

“With the lower level of stock on the market and buyers still out there, it’s certainly a sellers’ market,” says Brendon.

In terms of price, the April average asking price in Wellington has risen by two per cent from the previous month to $506,532, which is an all-time high for Wellington.

Across New Zealand, Realestate.co.nz statistics show it’s a strong sellers’ market, with the inventory of listings for April showing of the 19 regions measured, all favour sellers by market sentiment (refer graph: NZ inventory of listings for April 2016, compared with long term average).

 “While historic sales data is important, for buyers and sellers it’s equally important to know what’s happening right now in their own market, so they can make informed decisions,” says Brendon.

“As always, it’s the properties that are priced appropriately within the context of the market that will sell quickly,” he says.

In Auckland, weeks to sell fell by 2.78% in April 2016, compared with the same time last year.

Nationally, the inventory of listings is at the lowest level ever recorded by Realestate.co.nz since January 2007 when statistics were collected via the site (refer graph – NZ Property Market Inventory). The inventory of listings for all regions in April 2016 was 14 weeks compared to the Long Term Average of 34 weeks.

 

NEW PROPERTY LISTINGS VARY AMONG MAJOR CENTRES

 Refer infographic – New property listings for April 2016, compared to April 2015 for all regions

New Property Listings, April 2016

While Auckland and Wellington recorded a decrease in the number of new listings during the month of April (compared to April 2015), sellers in Waikato, Canterbury and Otago are more active and the number of new listings in those regions are up by a double digit percentage increase compared with the same time last year.

 

REGIONS ON THE UP

 Refer infographics –

  • New Property Listings for April 2016, compared to April 2015 (all regions)
  • Property asking price for April 2016, compared to prior month (all regions)
  • NZ Inventory of listings for April 2016 / long term average (all regions)

Property Asking Price, April 2016

The majority of the regions are also in a sellers’ market phase.  Star performers include Northland, Coromandel, Bay of Plenty and Southland.

Northland, Bay of Plenty and Southland recorded significant increases in new listings (compared with April 2015).

Northland, Coromandel and Southland recorded a healthy increase in average asking prices (more than a five per cent increase compared to the prior month of March 2016).

Nearly all the regional centres saw a downward trend in the Inventory of Listings for April 2016 compared to the Long Term Average.

 

About Realestate.co.nz

Realestate.co.nz offers buyers the shortest path to the perfect property. As the official website of the New Zealand real estate industry, Realestate.co.nz is dedicated to property and has the country’s most comprehensive selection of real estate listings online. The site presents more than 97% of all residential, commercial and rural properties currently marketed by real estate professionals. Focussed exclusively on people in need of property, Realestate.co.nz offers superior functionality, including accurate search, school zone data and a mobile app.

 

Glossary of terms

Realestate.co.nz provides valuable property market data not available from other sources.

  • Average asking price gives an indication of current market sentiment. Statistically, asking prices tend to correlate closely with the sales prices recorded in future months when those properties are sold. As it looks at different data, average asking prices may differ from recorded sales data released at the same time.
  • Inventory is a measure of how long it would take, theoretically, to sell the current stock at current average rates of sale if no new properties were to be listed for sale. It provides a measure of the rate of turnover in the market.
  • New listings is a record of all the new listings on Realestate.co.nz for the relevant calendar month. As we reflect 97% of all properties listed through registered estate agents in New Zealand, this gives a representative view of the market.
  • Seasonal adjustment is a method we use to better represent the core underlying trend of the property market in New Zealand. This is done using methodology from the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research.
  • Truncated mean is the method we use to provide statistically relevant asking prices. The top and bottom 10% of listings in each area are removed before the average is calculated, to prevent exceptional listings from providing false impressions. Read more here.

 

For media enquiries, please contact:

Kate Carter, PPR                                                         Brendon Skipper, Realestate.co.nz

T: +64 21 514 004                                                       T: +64 21 542 607

E: kate.carter@ppr.co.nz                                              E: brendon@realestate.co.nz

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